Find teams on a run: recent hit rate, our model probability and the bookmaker's price — with the edge between them — for BTTS, total Over/Under, team goals, clean sheets and match result.
| Team | Match | Hit rate | Form | Model | Fair | Odds | Edge | Score |
|---|
Hit rate is how often the market actually landed in the team's recent games (most recent first; club and country, friendlies excluded for clubs). Model % is our prediction model's probability for this fixture; fair odds are its decimal equivalent (100 / probability). Odds are Bet365's price; edge is model % minus the price's implied probability — positive means the model rates it higher than the book. Score blends hit rate and model, weighted toward whichever has more support. Rows marked Δ have model and form disagreeing by more than 25 points.
