Understanding Our AI Predictions

Our predictions are powered by an advanced machine learning model developed by the Scouting Stats AI team. The model processes multiple performance factors:

Performance Context Analyzes both historical performance and recent form, considering home/away dynamics
Expected Goals (xG) Uses opponent-adjusted xG metrics to evaluate attacking and defensive strength
Strength Ratings Calculates team ratings based on performance against varying opponent qualities

The model adjusts performances based on opposition strength - for example, generating 1 xG away against a strong defensive team carries more weight than the same xG against weaker opposition.

Football Match Predictions & Betting Tips

22 February 2025

Bundesliga

M'gladbach

Predicted Scoreline

2.05 - 1.21
Augsburg

Predicted Outcome

56.6%
21.4%
22.0%

Team Goal Predictions

M'gladbach
0
12.9%
1
26.4%
2
27.1%
3
18.5%
4+
15.2%
Augsburg
0
29.8%
1
36.1%
2
21.8%
3
8.8%
4+
3.5%

Over/Under Probabilities

Under/Over 0.5
3.8%
96.2%
Under/Over 1.5
16.4%
83.6%
Under/Over 2.5
36.8%
63.2%
Under/Over 3.5
58.9%
41.1%
Under/Over 4.5
77.0%
23.0%
Wolfsburg

Predicted Scoreline

2.27 - 0.89
Bochum

Predicted Outcome

68.4%
18.4%
13.2%

Team Goal Predictions

Wolfsburg
0
10.3%
1
23.5%
2
26.6%
3
20.1%
4+
19.5%
Bochum
0
41.1%
1
36.5%
2
16.3%
3
4.8%
4+
1.3%

Over/Under Probabilities

Under/Over 0.5
4.2%
95.8%
Under/Over 1.5
17.6%
82.4%
Under/Over 2.5
38.8%
61.2%
Under/Over 3.5
61.1%
38.9%
Under/Over 4.5
78.8%
21.2%
Holstein Kiel

Predicted Scoreline

1.01 - 2.34
Leverkusen

Predicted Outcome

14.7%
18.4%
66.9%

Team Goal Predictions

Holstein Kiel
0
36.4%
1
36.8%
2
18.6%
3
6.3%
4+
2.0%
Leverkusen
0
9.6%
1
22.5%
2
26.4%
3
20.6%
4+
20.9%

Over/Under Probabilities

Under/Over 0.5
3.5%
96.5%
Under/Over 1.5
15.3%
84.7%
Under/Over 2.5
34.9%
65.1%
Under/Over 3.5
56.9%
43.1%
Under/Over 4.5
75.3%
24.7%
Mainz

Predicted Scoreline

1.58 - 0.75
St. Pauli

Predicted Outcome

57.2%
25.2%
17.6%

Team Goal Predictions

Mainz
0
20.6%
1
32.5%
2
25.7%
3
13.5%
4+
7.6%
St. Pauli
0
47.2%
1
35.4%
2
13.3%
3
3.3%
4+
0.7%

Over/Under Probabilities

Under/Over 0.5
9.7%
90.3%
Under/Over 1.5
32.4%
67.6%
Under/Over 2.5
58.8%
41.2%
Under/Over 3.5
79.3%
20.7%
Under/Over 4.5
91.3%
8.7%

La Liga

Deportivo Alaves

Predicted Scoreline

1.38 - 0.87
Espanyol

Predicted Outcome

48.8%
27.6%
23.7%

Team Goal Predictions

Deportivo Alaves
0
25.2%
1
34.7%
2
24.0%
3
11.0%
4+
5.1%
Espanyol
0
41.9%
1
36.4%
2
15.9%
3
4.6%
4+
1.2%

Over/Under Probabilities

Under/Over 0.5
10.5%
89.5%
Under/Over 1.5
34.3%
65.7%
Under/Over 2.5
60.9%
39.1%
Under/Over 3.5
80.9%
19.1%
Under/Over 4.5
92.2%
7.8%

Premier League

Everton

Predicted Scoreline

1.05 - 1.18
Man United

Predicted Outcome

32.3%
28.8%
38.8%

Team Goal Predictions

Everton
0
35.0%
1
36.7%
2
19.3%
3
6.8%
4+
2.2%
Man United
0
30.7%
1
36.3%
2
21.4%
3
8.4%
4+
3.2%

Over/Under Probabilities

Under/Over 0.5
10.8%
89.2%
Under/Over 1.5
34.7%
65.3%
Under/Over 2.5
61.5%
38.5%
Under/Over 3.5
81.3%
18.7%
Under/Over 4.5
92.4%
7.6%
Bournemouth

Predicted Scoreline

1.3 - 0.98
Wolves

Predicted Outcome

43.9%
28.1%
28.1%

Team Goal Predictions

Bournemouth
0
27.3%
1
35.4%
2
23.0%
3
10.0%
4+
4.3%
Wolves
0
37.5%
1
36.8%
2
18.0%
3
5.9%
4+
1.8%

Over/Under Probabilities

Under/Over 0.5
10.2%
89.8%
Under/Over 1.5
33.5%
66.5%
Under/Over 2.5
60.1%
39.9%
Under/Over 3.5
80.3%
19.7%
Under/Over 4.5
91.9%
8.1%
Fulham

Predicted Scoreline

1.64 - 1.1
Crystal Palace

Predicted Outcome

49.9%
24.6%
25.5%

Team Goal Predictions

Fulham
0
19.4%
1
31.8%
2
26.1%
3
14.3%
4+
8.4%
Crystal Palace
0
33.3%
1
36.6%
2
20.1%
3
7.4%
4+
2.6%

Over/Under Probabilities

Under/Over 0.5
6.5%
93.5%
Under/Over 1.5
24.1%
75.9%
Under/Over 2.5
48.4%
51.6%
Under/Over 3.5
70.5%
29.5%
Under/Over 4.5
85.7%
14.3%

Serie A

Venezia

Predicted Scoreline

0.55 - 2.01
Lazio

Predicted Outcome

9.1%
19.0%
72.0%

Team Goal Predictions

Venezia
0
57.7%
1
31.7%
2
8.7%
3
1.6%
4+
0.2%
Lazio
0
13.4%
1
26.9%
2
27.1%
3
18.1%
4+
14.5%

Over/Under Probabilities

Under/Over 0.5
7.7%
92.3%
Under/Over 1.5
27.5%
72.5%
Under/Over 2.5
52.9%
47.1%
Under/Over 3.5
74.5%
25.5%
Under/Over 4.5
88.3%
11.7%
Parma

Predicted Scoreline

0.76 - 1.52
Bologna

Predicted Outcome

18.7%
25.9%
55.4%

Team Goal Predictions

Parma
0
46.8%
1
35.5%
2
13.5%
3
3.4%
4+
0.8%
Bologna
0
21.9%
1
33.2%
2
25.3%
3
12.8%
4+
6.8%

Over/Under Probabilities

Under/Over 0.5
10.2%
89.8%
Under/Over 1.5
33.5%
66.5%
Under/Over 2.5
60.1%
39.9%
Under/Over 3.5
80.3%
19.7%
Under/Over 4.5
91.9%
8.1%

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