Football Match Predictions & Betting Tips

Understanding Our AI Predictions

Our predictions are powered by an advanced machine learning model developed by the Scouting Stats AI team. The model processes multiple performance factors:

Performance Context Analyzes both historical performance and recent form, considering home/away dynamics
Expected Goals (xG) Uses opponent-adjusted xG metrics to evaluate attacking and defensive strength
Strength Ratings Calculates team ratings based on performance against varying opponent qualities

The model adjusts performances based on opposition strength - for example, generating 1 xG away against a strong defensive team carries more weight than the same xG against weaker opposition.

14 May 2025

First League

14:45 UTC
Beroe
vs
Botev Plovdiv
Predicted Outcome
37.9%
29.7%
32.4%
MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Beroe
Odds: 3.10
+7.5%
Model: 37.9% Market: 30.4%
Draw
Odds: 3.30
+1.1%
Model: 29.7% Market: 28.6%
Botev Plovdiv
Odds: 2.30
-8.6%
Model: 32.4% Market: 41.0%
Place your bet
Beroe 3.10 Draw 3.30 Botev Plovdiv 2.30

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17:15 UTC
Arda
vs
Levski Sofia
Predicted Outcome
25.6%
27.9%
46.5%
MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Arda
Odds: 3.20
-3.8%
Model: 25.6% Market: 29.5%
Draw
Odds: 3.10
-2.5%
Model: 27.9% Market: 30.4%
Levski Sofia
Odds: 2.35
+6.4%
Model: 46.5% Market: 40.1%
Place your bet
Arda 3.20 Draw 3.10 Levski Sofia 2.35

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La Liga

17:00 UTC
Villarreal
vs
Leganés
Predicted Outcome
59.4%
24.9%
15.7%
MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Villarreal
Odds: 1.33
-11.7%
Model: 59.4% Market: 71.0%
Draw
Odds: 5.50
+7.8%
Model: 24.9% Market: 17.2%
Leganés
Odds: 8.00
+3.9%
Model: 15.7% Market: 11.8%
Place your bet
Villarreal 1.33 Draw 5.50 Leganés 8.00

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17:00 UTC
Deportivo Alavés
vs
Valencia
Predicted Outcome
40.2%
30.9%
29.0%
MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Deportivo Alavés
Odds: 2.10
-4.8%
Model: 40.2% Market: 45.0%
Draw
Odds: 3.20
+1.3%
Model: 30.9% Market: 29.5%
Valencia
Odds: 3.70
+3.4%
Model: 29.0% Market: 25.5%
Place your bet
Deportivo Alavés 2.10 Draw 3.20 Valencia 3.70

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Allsvenskan

17:00 UTC
Hammarby
vs
Sirius
Predicted Outcome
61.8%
21.2%
16.9%
MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Hammarby
Odds: 1.48
-1.9%
Model: 61.8% Market: 63.7%
Draw
Odds: 4.75
+1.4%
Model: 21.2% Market: 19.9%
Sirius
Odds: 5.75
+0.5%
Model: 16.9% Market: 16.4%
Place your bet
Hammarby 1.48 Draw 4.75 Sirius 5.75

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17:00 UTC
Häcken
vs
AIK
Predicted Outcome
41.9%
23.4%
34.6%
MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Häcken
Odds: 2.60
+5.7%
Model: 41.9% Market: 36.2%
Draw
Odds: 3.60
-2.7%
Model: 23.4% Market: 26.1%
AIK
Odds: 2.50
-3.0%
Model: 34.6% Market: 37.7%
Place your bet
Häcken 2.60 Draw 3.60 AIK 2.50

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17:00 UTC
Halmstad
vs
GAIS
Predicted Outcome
37.1%
26.6%
36.3%
MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Halmstad
Odds: 4.10
+14.3%
Model: 37.1% Market: 22.8%
Draw
Odds: 3.50
-0.1%
Model: 26.6% Market: 26.7%
GAIS
Odds: 1.85
-14.2%
Model: 36.3% Market: 50.5%
Place your bet
Halmstad 4.10 Draw 3.50 GAIS 1.85

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Eredivisie

18:00 UTC
NEC Nijmegen
vs
NAC Breda
Predicted Outcome
60.1%
23.2%
16.6%
MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
NEC Nijmegen
Odds: 1.80
+7.5%
Model: 60.1% Market: 52.6%
Draw
Odds: 3.70
-2.3%
Model: 23.2% Market: 25.6%
NAC Breda
Odds: 4.33
-5.2%
Model: 16.6% Market: 21.9%
Place your bet
NEC Nijmegen 1.80 Draw 3.70 NAC Breda 4.33

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18:00 UTC
Go Ahead Eagles
vs
SC Heerenveen
Predicted Outcome
50.6%
21.3%
28.1%
MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Go Ahead Eagles
Odds: 2.50
+12.5%
Model: 50.6% Market: 38.2%
Draw
Odds: 3.80
-3.8%
Model: 21.3% Market: 25.1%
SC Heerenveen
Odds: 2.60
-8.7%
Model: 28.1% Market: 36.7%
Place your bet
Go Ahead Eagles 2.50 Draw 3.80 SC Heerenveen 2.60

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18:00 UTC
Feyenoord
vs
RKC Waalwijk
Predicted Outcome
78.5%
14.6%
6.8%
MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Feyenoord
Odds: 1.14
-4.7%
Model: 78.5% Market: 83.3%
Draw
Odds: 8.50
+3.5%
Model: 14.6% Market: 11.2%
RKC Waalwijk
Odds: 17.00
+1.2%
Model: 6.8% Market: 5.6%
Place your bet
Feyenoord 1.14 Draw 8.50 RKC Waalwijk 17.00

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