Vitória vs Vasco da Gama

Serie A

  • Renato Kayzer (2)
Finished
2 - 1
10 May 2025
  • Pablo Vegetti

Vitória vs Vasco da Gama Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.2 - 1.2. Vitória are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.4 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.2 : 1.2

Match Outcome Probability

38.1%
27.3%
34.6%
Vitória Win
Draw
Vasco da Gama Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Vitória Goal Distribution

25.3%
0
34.9%
1
22.7%
2
9.3%
3
4.0%
4+

Vasco da Gama Goal Distribution

27.9%
0
34.3%
1
21.2%
2
8.7%
3
3.8%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 71.9%
Over 2.5 46.6%
Over 3.5 25.4%
Over 4.5 13.2%
Under 1.5 28.1%
Under 2.5 53.4%
Under 3.5 74.6%
Under 4.5 86.8%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Vitória logo Vitória Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Lucas Arcanjo 6.9
90
5 Lucas Halter 7.2
90
8 Ronald 6.9
90
10 Wellington Rato 6.9
90
11 Osvaldo 7.1
46
27 Raúl Cáceres 6.7
90
28 Ricardo Ryller 7.0
57
30 Matheusinho 6.5
33
39 Janderson 6.4
57
43 Edu 7.0
90
83 Jamerson 8.1
90

Bench

7 Gustavo Silva 7.0
33
22 Lucas Braga N/A -
23 Fabrício Santos 7.0
44
33 Erick N/A -
35 Alexandre Fintelman N/A -
38 Léo Pereira N/A -
44 Gabriel Baralhas 6.9
33
66 Maykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho N/A -
77 Neris N/A
1
79 Renato Kayzer 8.5
45
96 Carlos Eduardo N/A -
99 Carlinhos N/A -

Vasco da Gama logo Vasco da Gama Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Léo Jardim 6.3
90
2 José Luis Rodríguez 6.9
90
6 Lucas Piton 7.1
90
11 Philippe Coutinho 7.6
67
17 Nuno Moreira 7.2
82
18 Paulinho 6.7
90
20 Juan Sforza 7.4
67
38 João Victor 6.9
90
44 Luiz Gustavo 7.6
90
77 Rayan 7.0
67
99 Pablo Vegetti 7.8
90

Bench

25 Hugo Moura 6.9
45
3 Tchê Tchê 6.6
23
12 Victor Luis N/A -
13 Daniel Fuzato N/A -
15 Benjamín Garré N/A -
22 Paulinho N/A -
28 Adson 6.7
23
29 Lucas Oliveira N/A -
30 Lukas Zuccarello 6.7
8
45 Loide Augusto 6.8
23
85 Mateus Carvalho N/A -
90 Alex Teixeira N/A -

Match Statistics

1.7 Expected Goals (xG) 0.7
36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
7 Fouls 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 0

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Pablo Vegetti
6
Osvaldo
2
Edu
2
José Luis Rodríguez
2
Philippe Coutinho
2
Rayan
2
Wellington Rato
1
Raúl Cáceres
1
Jamerson
1
Nuno Moreira
1
João Victor
1
Key Passes
Philippe Coutinho
4
Ronald
2
Jamerson
2
José Luis Rodríguez
2
Lucas Piton
2
Wellington Rato
1
Matheusinho
1
Janderson
1
Juan Sforza
1
Pablo Vegetti
1
Tackles Won
Jamerson
3
Lucas Halter
1
Ronald
1
Wellington Rato
1
Osvaldo
1
José Luis Rodríguez
1
Juan Sforza
1
Luiz Gustavo
1
Interceptions
Luiz Gustavo
2
Wellington Rato
1
Raúl Cáceres
1
Ricardo Ryller
1
Jamerson
1
Lucas Piton
1
Nuno Moreira
1
Juan Sforza
1