Napoli vs Genoa

Serie A

  • Giacomo Raspadori
  • Romelu Lukaku
Finished
2 - 2
11 May 2025
  • J. Vásquez

Napoli vs Genoa Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 2.0 - 0.5. Napoli are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.4 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

2.0 : 0.5

Match Outcome Probability

74.5%
17.8%
7.7%
Napoli Win
Draw
Genoa Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Napoli Goal Distribution

12.2%
0
26.2%
1
27.4%
2
18.4%
3
15.5%
4+

Genoa Goal Distribution

49.0%
0
27.0%
1
7.5%
2
0.8%
3
0.2%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 72.9%
Over 2.5 47.9%
Over 3.5 26.7%
Over 4.5 18.4%
Under 1.5 27.1%
Under 2.5 52.1%
Under 3.5 73.3%
Under 4.5 81.6%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Napoli logo Napoli Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Alex Meret 6.0
90
8 Scott McTominay 8.8
90
11 Romelu Lukaku 7.8
90
13 Amir Rrahmani 7.3
90
17 Mathías Olivera 6.9
90
21 Matteo Politano 7.5
88
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo 7.1
90
37 Leonardo Spinazzola 6.8
90
68 Stanislav Lobotka 6.7
13
81 Giacomo Raspadori 8.2
80
99 André Zambo Anguissa 6.9
90

Bench

6 Billy Gilmour 7.5
77
7 David Neres 7.0
2
9 Noah Okafor N/A -
14 Nikita Contini N/A -
15 Philip Billing 6.7
10
16 Rafa Marín N/A -
18 Giovanni Simeone N/A -
26 Cyril Ngonge N/A -
29 Luis Hasa N/A -
30 Pasquale Mazzocchi N/A -
96 Simone Scuffet N/A -

Genoa logo Genoa Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
10 Junior Messias 7.1
59
15 B. Norton-Cuffy 6.4
90
19 A. Pinamonti 6.9
90
20 S. Sabelli 6.2
78
22 J. Vásquez 8.4
90
32 M. Frendrup 6.6
90
69 H. Ahanor 6.8
78
73 P. Masini 6.6
90
9 Vítinha 6.7
69
31 B. Siegrist 7.9
90
34 S. Otoa 6.7
69

Bench

1 N. Leali N/A -
3 Aarón Martín 7.0
31
4 K. De Winter N/A -
5 J. Onana N/A -
13 M. Bani 7.2
21
21 J. Ekhator N/A -
39 D. Sommariva N/A -
47 M. Badelj N/A -
53 L. Kassa 6.8
21
59 A. Zanoli 6.4
12
76 L. Venturino 7.0
12

Match Statistics

2.1 Expected Goals (xG) 0.7
59% Possession 41%
22 Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
12 Fouls 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Giacomo Raspadori
5
Matteo Politano
4
Scott McTominay
3
Romelu Lukaku
3
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
3
André Zambo Anguissa
2
A. Pinamonti
2
Vítinha
2
B. Norton-Cuffy
1
J. Vásquez
1
H. Ahanor
1
P. Masini
1
Key Passes
Matteo Politano
3
Scott McTominay
2
Romelu Lukaku
2
Amir Rrahmani
2
Leonardo Spinazzola
2
Junior Messias
2
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
1
Giacomo Raspadori
1
André Zambo Anguissa
1
S. Sabelli
1
H. Ahanor
1
Vítinha
1
Tackles Won
P. Masini
2
Giacomo Raspadori
1
J. Vásquez
1
M. Frendrup
1
H. Ahanor
1
Interceptions
J. Vásquez
5
Amir Rrahmani
2
André Zambo Anguissa
2
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
1
Giacomo Raspadori
1
M. Frendrup
1
H. Ahanor
1
S. Otoa
1