Atalanta vs Roma

Serie A

Atalanta
Upcoming
vs
12 May 2025, 18:45 UTC
Roma

Detailed Team Form Analysis

Recent performance metrics for Atalanta and Roma. Use the filters to view different match counts and home/away splits. Includes player xG data for the selected period.

Atalanta logo Atalanta Recent Form

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W-D-L
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Goals Scored
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Goals Conceded
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Clean Sheets
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Avg xG
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Avg xGA
Recent Matches

Roma logo Roma Recent Form

-
W-D-L
-
Goals Scored
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Goals Conceded
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Clean Sheets
-
Avg xG
-
Avg xGA
Recent Matches

Betting Odds

MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Atalanta
2.10
+5.1%
Model: 50.6%
Market: 45.5%
BET HOME
Draw
3.50
-1.9%
Model: 25.4%
Market: 27.3%
BET DRAW
Roma
3.50
-3.3%
Model: 24.0%
Market: 27.3%
BET AWAY
Both Teams To Score: Yes
1.66
-4.6%
Model: 51.3%
Market: 55.9%
BET YES
Both Teams To Score: No
2.10
+4.6%
Model: 48.7%
Market: 44.1%
BET NO

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Atalanta vs Roma Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.5 - 0.9. Atalanta are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.5 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.5 : 0.9

Match Outcome Probability

50.6%
25.4%
24.0%
Atalanta Win
Draw
Roma Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Atalanta Goal Distribution

19.6%
0
32.2%
1
25.7%
2
13.2%
3
7.3%
4+

Roma Goal Distribution

32.7%
0
34.8%
1
17.7%
2
5.7%
3
1.9%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 4.5 14.5%
Over 1.5 73.4%
Over 2.5 48.4%
Over 3.5 26.7%
Under 4.5 85.5%
Under 1.5 26.6%
Under 2.5 51.6%
Under 3.5 73.3%