St. Mirren vs Aberdeen

Premiership

  • Mikael Mandron
Finished
1 - 0
03 May 2025

St. Mirren vs Aberdeen Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.3 - 1.2. St. Mirren are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.5 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.3 : 1.2

Match Outcome Probability

38.9%
26.6%
34.5%
St. Mirren Win
Draw
Aberdeen Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

St. Mirren Goal Distribution

23.7%
0
33.7%
1
22.9%
2
10.9%
3
5.0%
4+

Aberdeen Goal Distribution

26.1%
0
33.7%
1
21.9%
2
9.4%
3
4.0%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 74.7%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Over 3.5 28.1%
Over 4.5 15.2%
Under 1.5 25.3%
Under 2.5 50.0%
Under 3.5 71.8%
Under 4.5 84.8%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

St. Mirren logo St. Mirren Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Zac Hemming 6.8
90
2 Ryan Alebiosu 6.8
90
5 Richard Taylor 7.6
90
6 Mark O'Hara 7.3
79
7 J. Ayunga 6.7
46
8 Oisin Smyth 7.1
67
9 Mikael Mandron 7.5
90
13 Alexander Gogić 7.2
90
22 Marcus Fraser 7.3
90
24 Declan John 7.3
90
88 Killian Phillips 6.9
90

Bench

4 Alex Iacovitti N/A -
3 Scott Tanser N/A -
10 Conor McMenamin N/A -
11 Greg Kiltie N/A -
12 Roland Idowu 6.7
44
14 James Scott 6.7
11
15 Caolan Boyd-Munce 6.8
23
19 Owen Oseni N/A -
27 Peter Urminsky N/A -

Aberdeen logo Aberdeen Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
5 Mats Knoester 7.3
90
10 Leighton Clarkson 7.1
55
18 Ante Palaversa 6.7
83
1 Dimitar Mitov 7.0
90
2 Nicky Devlin 7.5
90
4 Graeme Shinnie 8.0
90
9 Kevin Nisbet 6.7
90
16 Jeppe Okkels 6.8
55
20 Shayden Morris 6.9
90
26 Alfie Dorrington 6.9
83
81 Topi Keskinen 6.4
66

Bench

14 Pape Habib Gueye 6.6
7
3 Jack Mackenzie N/A -
7 Jamie McGrath 6.7
35
8 Dante Polvara 6.5
35
11 Oday Dabbagh 6.9
24
22 Jack Milne N/A -
30 Fletcher Boyd 6.4
7
31 Ross Doohan N/A -
32 Peter Ambrose N/A -

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 11
10 Fouls 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Mikael Mandron
5
Topi Keskinen
2
Mark O'Hara
1
J. Ayunga
1
Marcus Fraser
1
Declan John
1
Mats Knoester
1
Leighton Clarkson
1
Ante Palaversa
1
Shayden Morris
1
Key Passes
Mark O'Hara
2
Oisin Smyth
2
Graeme Shinnie
2
J. Ayunga
1
Mikael Mandron
1
Declan John
1
Mats Knoester
1
Leighton Clarkson
1
Shayden Morris
1
Tackles Won
Graeme Shinnie
3
Ryan Alebiosu
2
Oisin Smyth
2
Killian Phillips
2
Richard Taylor
1
Alexander Gogić
1
Marcus Fraser
1
Declan John
1
Mats Knoester
1
Nicky Devlin
1
Kevin Nisbet
1
Jeppe Okkels
1
Shayden Morris
1
Alfie Dorrington
1
Topi Keskinen
1
Interceptions
Alexander Gogić
2
Nicky Devlin
2
Graeme Shinnie
2
Richard Taylor
1
Mark O'Hara
1
Marcus Fraser
1
Declan John
1
Mats Knoester
1
Ante Palaversa
1
Shayden Morris
1
Alfie Dorrington
1