Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

Premiership

Motherwell
Upcoming
vs
14 May 2025, 18:45 UTC
Kilmarnock

Detailed Team Form Analysis

Recent performance metrics for Motherwell and Kilmarnock. Use the filters to view different match counts and home/away splits. Includes player xG data for the selected period.

Motherwell logo Motherwell Recent Form

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W-D-L
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Goals Scored
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Goals Conceded
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Clean Sheets
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Avg xG
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Avg xGA
Recent Matches

Kilmarnock logo Kilmarnock Recent Form

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W-D-L
-
Goals Scored
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Goals Conceded
-
Clean Sheets
-
Avg xG
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Avg xGA
Recent Matches

Betting Odds

MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Motherwell
2.80
+9.7%
Model: 43.5%
Market: 33.8%
BET HOME
Draw
3.25
-3.4%
Model: 25.7%
Market: 29.1%
BET DRAW
Kilmarnock
2.55
-6.3%
Model: 30.8%
Market: 37.1%
BET AWAY
Both Teams To Score: Yes
1.66
-0.7%
Model: 55.2%
Market: 55.9%
BET YES
Both Teams To Score: No
2.10
+0.7%
Model: 44.8%
Market: 44.1%
BET NO

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Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.4 - 1.1. Motherwell are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.6 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.4 : 1.1

Match Outcome Probability

43.5%
25.7%
30.8%
Motherwell Win
Draw
Kilmarnock Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Motherwell Goal Distribution

21.4%
0
32.5%
1
24.0%
2
12.2%
3
6.4%
4+

Kilmarnock Goal Distribution

27.3%
0
33.5%
1
20.9%
2
8.5%
3
3.5%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 76.0%
Over 2.5 51.9%
Over 3.5 28.4%
Over 4.5 16.0%
Under 1.5 24.0%
Under 2.5 48.1%
Under 3.5 71.6%
Under 4.5 84.0%