AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Premier League

Finished
0 - 1
10 May 2025
  • Ollie Watkins

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.4 - 1.4. AFC Bournemouth are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.8 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.4 : 1.4

Match Outcome Probability

39.0%
24.4%
36.6%
AFC Bournemouth Win
Draw
Aston Villa Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

AFC Bournemouth Goal Distribution

19.8%
0
31.3%
1
23.9%
2
12.1%
3
7.1%
4+

Aston Villa Goal Distribution

20.6%
0
31.5%
1
23.5%
2
11.5%
3
6.0%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 80.8%
Over 2.5 58.7%
Over 3.5 35.8%
Over 4.5 20.9%
Under 1.5 19.2%
Under 2.5 41.3%
Under 3.5 64.2%
Under 4.5 79.1%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

AFC Bournemouth logo AFC Bournemouth Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 Dean Huijsen 7.4
90
3 Miloš Kerkez 7.2
88
4 Lewis Cook 6.8
90
8 Alex Scott 6.7
46
9 Evanilson 7.0
90
12 Tyler Adams 7.2
76
13 Kepa Arrizabalaga 6.7
90
15 Adam Smith 6.3
70
16 Marcus Tavernier 7.2
90
24 Antoine Semenyo 6.2
90
27 Illia Zabarnyi 7.3
88

Bench

5 Marcos Senesi 6.9
14
7 David Brooks 7.2
20
19 Justin Kluivert 7.0
44
20 Julio Soler N/A -
21 Daniel Jebbison 6.3
2
22 Julian Araujo N/A
2
23 James Hill N/A -
40 Will Dennis N/A -
47 Ben Winterburn N/A -

Aston Villa logo Aston Villa Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 Matty Cash 7.5
90
4 Ezri Konsa 7.0
90
5 Tyrone Mings 6.8
70
11 Ollie Watkins 7.3
90
12 Lucas Digne 7.5
90
21 Marco Asensio 6.9
70
23 Emiliano Martínez 7.6
90
24 Amadou Onana 7.4
90
27 Morgan Rogers 7.1
89
41 Jacob Ramsey 6.8
80
44 Boubacar Kamara 6.5
90

Bench

3 Axel Disasi N/A -
6 Ross Barkley N/A -
7 John McGinn 6.3
20
14 Pau Torres 6.7
20
16 Andrés García N/A -
17 Donyell Malen N/A -
22 Ian Maatsen N/A
1
25 Robin Olsen N/A -
31 Leon Bailey N/A -

Match Statistics

1.1 Expected Goals (xG) 0.9
66% Possession 34%
10 Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
19 Fouls 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1
2 Offsides 0

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Evanilson
2
Antoine Semenyo
2
Boubacar Kamara
2
Miloš Kerkez
1
Alex Scott
1
Marcus Tavernier
1
Illia Zabarnyi
1
Matty Cash
1
Ollie Watkins
1
Marco Asensio
1
Jacob Ramsey
1
Key Passes
Miloš Kerkez
1
Alex Scott
1
Tyler Adams
1
Marcus Tavernier
1
Antoine Semenyo
1
Lucas Digne
1
Morgan Rogers
1
Jacob Ramsey
1
Tackles Won
Dean Huijsen
3
Morgan Rogers
3
Tyler Adams
2
Matty Cash
2
Alex Scott
1
Illia Zabarnyi
1
Tyrone Mings
1
Ollie Watkins
1
Lucas Digne
1
Interceptions
Miloš Kerkez
2
Boubacar Kamara
2
Dean Huijsen
1
Illia Zabarnyi
1
Marco Asensio
1
Amadou Onana
1
Jacob Ramsey
1