Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk

Pro League

  • Christian Burgess
Finished
1 - 0
03 May 2025

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.6 - 1.0. Union Saint-Gilloise are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.6 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.6 : 1.0

Match Outcome Probability

49.1%
25.5%
25.4%
Union Saint-Gilloise Win
Draw
Genk Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Union Saint-Gilloise Goal Distribution

19.1%
0
31.4%
1
25.6%
2
13.6%
3
7.9%
4+

Genk Goal Distribution

30.2%
0
33.7%
1
18.9%
2
6.7%
3
2.6%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 75.5%
Over 2.5 51.4%
Over 3.5 29.5%
Over 4.5 16.3%
Under 1.5 24.5%
Under 2.5 48.6%
Under 3.5 70.5%
Under 4.5 83.7%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Union Saint-Gilloise logo Union Saint-Gilloise Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
5 Kevin Mac Allister 7.4
90
6 Kamiel Van De Perre  6.9
60
24 Charles Vanhoutte 7.4
90
25 Anan Khalaili 6.5
90
27 Noah Sadiki 7.6
90
28 Koki Machida 7.4
90
49 Anthony Moris  6.9
90
9 Franjo Ivanovic 6.3
90
12 Promise David 6.3
82
16 Christian Burgess 8.3
90
22 Ousseynou Niang 7.3
60

Bench

4 Mathias Rasmussen N/A
1
11 Henok Teklab N/A -
13 Kevin Rodríguez N/A -
14 Joachim Imbrechts N/A -
21 Alessio Castro-Montes 7.2
30
26 Ross Sykes N/A -
48 Fedde Leysen N/A -
10 Anouar Ait El Hadj 6.8
30
77 Mohammed Fuseini 7.0
8

Genk logo Genk Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
3 Mujaid Sadick 7.3
90
6 Matte Smets 7.8
90
7 Christopher Baah 6.9
87
17 Patrik Hrošovský 6.9
87
21 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura 6.3
51
23 Jarne Steuckers 6.7
87
39 Mike Penders 7.3
90
77 Zakaria El Ouahdi 7.0
90
99 Tolu Arokodare 6.8
90
8 Bryan Heynen 6.7
90
18 Joris Kayembe Ditu 7.6
90

Bench

1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge N/A -
9 Hyeon-gyu Oh N/A -
19 Yaimar Abel Medina Ortiz N/A -
20 Konstantinos Karetsas N/A
3
24 Nikolas Sattlberger N/A -
27 Ken Nkuba N/A -
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg N/A
3
44 Josue Ndenge Kongolo N/A -
14 Yira Collins Sor N/A
3

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
17 Fouls 16
5 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1
0 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Franjo Ivanovic
4
Christian Burgess
2
Promise David
1
Ousseynou Niang
1
Bryan Heynen
1
Joris Kayembe Ditu
1
Key Passes
Charles Vanhoutte
2
Noah Sadiki
2
Promise David
2
Patrik Hrošovský
1
Tolu Arokodare
1
Tackles Won
Matte Smets
5
Koki Machida
4
Joris Kayembe Ditu
4
Kamiel Van De Perre 
2
Mujaid Sadick
2
Patrik Hrošovský
2
Zakaria El Ouahdi
2
Kevin Mac Allister
1
Christian Burgess
1
Christopher Baah
1
Interceptions
Kevin Mac Allister
3
Bryan Heynen
3
Mujaid Sadick
2
Zakaria El Ouahdi
2
Charles Vanhoutte
1
Koki Machida
1
Matte Smets
1
Christopher Baah
1
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
1