Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro

Serie A

Finished
0 - 4
11 May 2025
  • Christian
  • Kaio Jorge
  • Matheus Pereira (2)

Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.1 - 1.2. Cruzeiro are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.3 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.1 : 1.2

Match Outcome Probability

34.0%
27.9%
38.0%
Sport Recife Win
Draw
Cruzeiro Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Sport Recife Goal Distribution

30.3%
0
35.4%
1
20.7%
2
7.2%
3
2.6%
4+

Cruzeiro Goal Distribution

28.6%
0
34.9%
1
21.1%
2
9.1%
3
3.7%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 68.4%
Over 2.5 42.7%
Over 3.5 21.3%
Over 4.5 10.6%
Under 1.5 31.6%
Under 2.5 57.3%
Under 3.5 78.7%
Under 4.5 89.4%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Sport Recife logo Sport Recife Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
6 João Silva 6.4
90
14 Christian Rivera 6.1
90
16 Igor Cariús 6.3
75
22 Caique França 6.0
90
30 Chrystian Barletta 6.4
69
37 Du Queiroz 6.8
69
44 Chico 6.6
90
17 Carlos Alberto 6.2
46
27 Sérgio Oliveira 6.6
90
33 Matheus Alexandre 6.5
46
92 Pablo 6.8
90

Bench

20 Rodrigo Atencio 7.2
44
32 Diogo Hereda 6.9
44
3 Lucas Cunha N/A -
8 Fabricio Domínguez N/A -
11 Gustavo Maia N/A -
12 Thiago Couto N/A -
25 Antônio Carlos N/A -
29 Dalbert 6.6
15
38 Arthur Sousa N/A -
58 Zé Lucas 6.7
21
59 Christian Ortíz N/A -
91 Romarinho 7.0
21

Cruzeiro logo Cruzeiro Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Cássio 7.5
90
6 Kaiki 7.3
90
10 Matheus Pereira 9.9
75
15 Fabrício Bruno 7.6
90
16 Lucas Silva 7.4
90
19 Kaio Jorge 8.4
62
21 Eduardo 7.1
75
23 Fagner 7.6
90
25 Lucas Villalba 7.0
75
88 Christian 7.6
62
94 Wanderson 7.5
90

Bench

5 Walace 7.0
15
9 Gabriel Barbosa 7.1
28
11 Yannick Bolasie N/A -
12 William 6.9
28
26 Lautaro Díaz 6.7
15
34 Jonathan Jesus 7.0
15
35 Murilo Rhikman Alves Pimentel N/A -
36 Kauã Prates N/A -
41 Léo Aragão N/A -
70 Kaique Kenji N/A -
75 Rodriguinho N/A -
99 Juan Dinenno N/A -

Match Statistics

0.8 Expected Goals (xG) 1.3
45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
11 Fouls 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
0 Offsides 2

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Matheus Pereira
5
Wanderson
4
Pablo
3
Kaio Jorge
3
Chrystian Barletta
1
Du Queiroz
1
Sérgio Oliveira
1
Kaiki
1
Lucas Villalba
1
Christian
1
Key Passes
Matheus Pereira
3
Pablo
2
Eduardo
2
Fagner
2
Wanderson
2
João Silva
1
Igor Cariús
1
Sérgio Oliveira
1
Kaiki
1
Kaio Jorge
1
Christian
1
Tackles Won
Kaiki
3
Fabrício Bruno
3
Igor Cariús
2
Pablo
2
João Silva
1
Christian Rivera
1
Du Queiroz
1
Carlos Alberto
1
Matheus Alexandre
1
Matheus Pereira
1
Kaio Jorge
1
Eduardo
1
Fagner
1
Interceptions
Christian Rivera
3
Chico
2
Igor Cariús
1
Carlos Alberto
1
Sérgio Oliveira
1
Matheus Alexandre
1
Pablo
1
Kaiki
1
Matheus Pereira
1
Fabrício Bruno
1
Lucas Villalba
1
Wanderson
1