Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense

Serie A

  • Igor Gomes
  • Júnior Santos
  • Rubens
Finished
3 - 2
11 May 2025
  • Agustín Canobbio
  • Kevin Serna

Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.5 - 0.8. Atlético Mineiro are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.3 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.5 : 0.8

Match Outcome Probability

53.9%
26.9%
19.2%
Atlético Mineiro Win
Draw
Fluminense Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Atlético Mineiro Goal Distribution

20.6%
0
33.2%
1
26.1%
2
12.5%
3
6.6%
4+

Fluminense Goal Distribution

40.6%
0
33.9%
1
14.3%
2
3.7%
3
1.0%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 68.8%
Over 2.5 42.3%
Over 3.5 21.0%
Over 4.5 11.1%
Under 1.5 31.2%
Under 2.5 57.7%
Under 3.5 79.0%
Under 4.5 88.9%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Atlético Mineiro logo Atlético Mineiro Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 Natanael 6.8
70
4 Lyanco 6.6
90
6 Junior Alonso 7.0
90
7 Hulk 8.1
90
8 Fausto Vera 6.7
58
10 Gustavo Scarpa 7.7
90
21 Alan Franco 7.3
90
22 Everson 5.9
90
28 Tomás Cuello 6.8
90
33 Rony 6.8
77
44 Rubens 7.6
90

Bench

1 Gabriel Delfim N/A -
11 Bernard 6.8
32
14 Vitor Hugo N/A -
16 Igor Rabello N/A -
17 Igor Gomes 7.3
13
19 João Marcelo N/A -
20 Patrick Silva N/A -
26 Renzo Saravia N/A -
30 Brahian Palacios N/A -
37 Júnior Santos 7.3
20
38 Caio Paulista N/A -
47 Rômulo N/A -

Fluminense logo Fluminense Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Fábio 6.1
90
2 Samuel Xavier 6.8
90
3 Thiago Silva 6.5
90
5 Facundo Bernal 6.8
85
8 Matheus Martinelli 7.3
90
9 Everaldo 6.8
72
12 Gabriel Fuentes 6.9
90
16 Nonato 6.5
72
17 Agustín Canobbio 7.4
85
21 Jhon Arias 6.6
90
22 Juan Freytes 6.7
90

Bench

4 Ignácio N/A -
6 Renê N/A -
7 Renato Augusto 6.4
5
10 Ganso N/A -
11 Keno 6.5
5
18 Ruben Lezcano N/A -
23 Guga N/A -
26 Manoel N/A -
29 Thiago Santos N/A -
35 Hércules 6.3
18
90 Kevin Serna 7.1
18
98 Vitor Eudes N/A -

Match Statistics

2.6 Expected Goals (xG) 0.5
55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
15 Fouls 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Offsides 0

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Lyanco
3
Agustín Canobbio
3
Hulk
2
Tomás Cuello
2
Rubens
2
Junior Alonso
1
Alan Franco
1
Everaldo
1
Key Passes
Hulk
4
Gustavo Scarpa
4
Junior Alonso
1
Alan Franco
1
Samuel Xavier
1
Matheus Martinelli
1
Tackles Won
Lyanco
3
Gabriel Fuentes
3
Hulk
2
Gustavo Scarpa
2
Alan Franco
2
Tomás Cuello
2
Samuel Xavier
2
Fausto Vera
1
Rony
1
Thiago Silva
1
Matheus Martinelli
1
Nonato
1
Agustín Canobbio
1
Interceptions
Natanael
3
Rubens
3
Junior Alonso
2
Gustavo Scarpa
2
Tomás Cuello
2
Gabriel Fuentes
2
Nonato
2
Lyanco
1
Hulk
1
Fausto Vera
1
Alan Franco
1
Facundo Bernal
1
Jhon Arias
1
Juan Freytes
1