Cruzeiro vs Flamengo

Serie A

  • Gabriel Barbosa
  • Kaio Jorge
Finished
2 - 1
04 May 2025
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.0 - 1.3. Flamengo are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.3 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.0 : 1.3

Match Outcome Probability

29.1%
25.9%
45.0%
Cruzeiro Win
Draw
Flamengo Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Cruzeiro Goal Distribution

32.9%
0
34.4%
1
18.8%
2
6.2%
3
2.4%
4+

Flamengo Goal Distribution

24.5%
0
33.7%
1
23.4%
2
10.8%
3
5.3%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 70.0%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Over 3.5 23.8%
Over 4.5 12.2%
Under 1.5 30.0%
Under 2.5 55.8%
Under 3.5 76.2%
Under 4.5 87.8%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Cruzeiro logo Cruzeiro Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Cássio 6.7
90
6 Kaiki 7.6
90
10 Matheus Pereira 7.7
88
15 Fabrício Bruno 7.0
90
16 Lucas Silva 6.6
90
19 Kaio Jorge 7.7
90
23 Fagner 7.6
90
25 Lucas Villalba 7.0
90
29 Lucas Romero 7.2
90
88 Christian 7.0
90
94 Wanderson 7.5
88

Bench

5 Walace N/A -
9 Gabriel Barbosa 7.0
2
11 Yannick Bolasie N/A
1
12 William N/A -
17 Marquinhos N/A -
21 Eduardo N/A
2
26 Lautaro Díaz N/A -
34 Jonathan Jesus N/A -
36 Kauã Prates N/A -
41 Léo Aragão N/A -
70 Kaique Kenji N/A -
75 Rodriguinho N/A -

Flamengo logo Flamengo Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Agustín Rossi 8.5
90
3 Léo Ortiz 7.1
90
4 Léo Pereira 6.9
90
5 Erick Pulgar 7.0
90
8 Gerson 7.0
83
9 Pedro 6.7
67
10 Giorgian De Arrascaeta 7.5
83
11 Everton 6.2
55
18 Nicolás de la Cruz 7.3
90
26 Alex Sandro 6.9
90
43 Wesley 6.6
83

Bench

2 Guillermo Varela 6.7
7
13 Danilo N/A -
6 Ayrton Lucas N/A -
7 Luiz Araújo 6.7
7
20 Matheus Gonçalves N/A -
23 Juninho Vieira 6.5
7
25 Matheus Cunha N/A -
27 Bruno Henrique 6.5
35
29 Allan N/A -
30 Michael 6.6
23
52 Evertton N/A -
79 Caio Joshua Lana de Andrade N/A -

Match Statistics

2.8 Expected Goals (xG) 0.5
41% Possession 59%
17 Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
18 Fouls 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Matheus Pereira
4
Kaio Jorge
4
Wanderson
3
Kaiki
2
Christian
1
Léo Ortiz
1
Pedro
1
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
1
Everton
1
Key Passes
Kaio Jorge
3
Wanderson
3
Matheus Pereira
2
Nicolás de la Cruz
2
Kaiki
1
Fagner
1
Lucas Romero
1
Christian
1
Erick Pulgar
1
Gerson
1
Tackles Won
Kaiki
4
Matheus Pereira
3
Fagner
3
Lucas Villalba
2
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
2
Fabrício Bruno
1
Lucas Silva
1
Lucas Romero
1
Wanderson
1
Léo Ortiz
1
Léo Pereira
1
Erick Pulgar
1
Gerson
1
Alex Sandro
1
Wesley
1
Interceptions
Fagner
2
Christian
2
Alex Sandro
2
Kaiki
1
Matheus Pereira
1
Lucas Silva
1
Lucas Villalba
1
Lucas Romero
1
Wanderson
1
Léo Ortiz
1
Erick Pulgar
1
Gerson
1
Nicolás de la Cruz
1