Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo

J-League

  • Danilo Gomes
  • Keisuke Kasai
Finished
2 - 3
03 May 2025
  • Kei Koizumi 
  • Marcelo Ryan (2)

Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.2 - 1.2. Albirex Niigata are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.4 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.2 : 1.2

Match Outcome Probability

37.8%
26.6%
35.6%
Albirex Niigata Win
Draw
FC Tokyo Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Albirex Niigata Goal Distribution

26.3%
0
34.3%
1
22.0%
2
9.6%
3
4.1%
4+

FC Tokyo Goal Distribution

27.4%
0
34.6%
1
21.8%
2
8.4%
3
3.7%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 71.8%
Over 2.5 46.7%
Over 3.5 24.9%
Over 4.5 13.2%
Under 1.5 28.1%
Under 2.5 53.2%
Under 3.5 75.1%
Under 4.5 86.8%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Albirex Niigata logo Albirex Niigata Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
3 Hayato Inamura 6.6
90
6 Hiroki Akiyama 7.1
67
16 Yota Komi 6.6
58
2 Jason Geria 7.2
90
22 Taiki Arai 6.8
85
23 Daisuke Yoshimitsu 6.0
90
25 Soya Fujiwara 7.4
90
30 Jin Okumura 7.0
85
31 Yuto Horigome 6.7
67
41 Motoki Hasegawa 6.8
90
99 Yuji Ono 6.8
58

Bench

5 Michael James Fitzgerald N/A -
15 Fumiya Hayakawa N/A -
1 Kazuki Fujita N/A -
11 Danilo Gomes 8.4
32
19 Yuji Hoshi 6.6
5
20 Miguel 6.9
5
33 Yoshiaki Takagi 6.6
23
42 Kento Hashimoto 6.6
23
46 Keisuke Kasai 8.4
32

FC Tokyo logo FC Tokyo Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
16 Kein Sato 7.2
75
18 Kento Hashimoto 6.8
87
19 Marcelo Ryan 8.8
90
22 Keita Endo  7.3
59
8 Takahiro Ko 7.0
73
32 Kanta Doi 7.0
90
33 Kota Tawaratsumida 6.8
87
37 Kei Koizumi  7.8
90
41 Taishi Brandon Nozawa 6.2
90
44 Henrique Trevisan 7.3
86
47 Seiji Kimura 6.7
90

Bench

7 Soma Anzai 6.7
31
4 Yasuki Kimoto N/A -
13 Go Hatano N/A -
27 Kyota Tokiwa N/A
3
28 Leon Nozawa N/A
3
30 Teppei Oka N/A
4
39 Teruhito Nakagawa 6.4
15
53 Maki Kitahara N/A -
99 Kosuke Shirai 7.2
17

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
9 Fouls 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
0 Offsides 2

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Marcelo Ryan
4
Jin Okumura
3
Kein Sato
3
Keita Endo 
2
Yota Komi
1
Soya Fujiwara
1
Yuji Ono
1
Kento Hashimoto
1
Kota Tawaratsumida
1
Kei Koizumi 
1
Key Passes
Hiroki Akiyama
2
Jin Okumura
2
Kein Sato
2
Keita Endo 
2
Soya Fujiwara
1
Motoki Hasegawa
1
Marcelo Ryan
1
Kanta Doi
1
Kota Tawaratsumida
1
Kei Koizumi 
1
Henrique Trevisan
1
Tackles Won
Soya Fujiwara
3
Yuto Horigome
3
Hayato Inamura
2
Yota Komi
1
Jason Geria
1
Taiki Arai
1
Kein Sato
1
Kento Hashimoto
1
Marcelo Ryan
1
Kota Tawaratsumida
1
Henrique Trevisan
1
Seiji Kimura
1
Interceptions
Jason Geria
3
Soya Fujiwara
3
Hiroki Akiyama
2
Takahiro Ko
2
Hayato Inamura
1
Taiki Arai
1
Yuto Horigome
1
Marcelo Ryan
1
Keita Endo 
1
Kanta Doi
1
Kota Tawaratsumida
1
Kei Koizumi 
1
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
1
Henrique Trevisan
1