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Porto vs Nacional

Liga Portugal

Upcoming
vs
17 May 2025, 17:00 UTC

Detailed Team Form Analysis

Recent performance metrics for Porto and Nacional. Use the filters to view different match counts and home/away splits. Includes player xG data for the selected period.

Porto logo Porto Recent Form

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W-D-L
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Goals Scored
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Goals Conceded
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Clean Sheets
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Avg xG
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Avg xGA

Nacional logo Nacional Recent Form

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W-D-L
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Goals Scored
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Goals Conceded
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Clean Sheets
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Avg xG
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Avg xGA

Betting Odds

MODEL VS. MARKET COMPARISON
Comparing our model's probabilities against implied probabilities from Bet365 odds. Positive edge suggests potential value.
Porto
1.29
+1.6%
Model: 75.0%
Market: 73.4%
BET HOME
Draw
5.50
+0.4%
Model: 17.6%
Market: 17.2%
BET DRAW
Nacional
10.00
-2.0%
Model: 7.5%
Market: 9.4%
BET AWAY

Over/Under Goals

Recent Team Form

Review complete match history for both teams to identify form patterns.

Porto logo Porto Recent Matches

Nacional logo Nacional Recent Matches


Porto vs Nacional Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 2.0 - 0.5. Porto are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.5 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

2.0 : 0.5

Match Outcome Probability

75.0%
17.6%
7.5%
Porto Win
Draw
Nacional Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Porto Goal Distribution

11.6%
0
25.1%
1
26.6%
2
19.1%
3
17.4%
4+

Nacional Goal Distribution

47.7%
0
25.8%
1
7.7%
2
1.2%
3
0.3%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 74.2%
Over 2.5 50.2%
Over 3.5 30.0%
Over 4.5 20.8%
Under 1.5 25.8%
Under 2.5 49.8%
Under 3.5 70.0%
Under 4.5 79.2%