Nacional vs Rio Ave

Liga Portugal

  • André Sousa
  • Léo Santos
Finished
3 - 3
10 May 2025
  • E. Tıknaz (2)
  • T. Bakoulas

Nacional vs Rio Ave Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.5 - 1.3. Nacional are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.8 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.5 : 1.3

Match Outcome Probability

42.2%
25.0%
32.7%
Nacional Win
Draw
Rio Ave Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Nacional Goal Distribution

18.8%
0
30.3%
1
24.1%
2
13.0%
3
8.7%
4+

Rio Ave Goal Distribution

22.5%
0
31.4%
1
22.1%
2
10.2%
3
5.5%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 79.8%
Over 2.5 58.4%
Over 3.5 36.2%
Over 4.5 21.7%
Under 1.5 20.2%
Under 2.5 41.6%
Under 3.5 63.8%
Under 4.5 78.3%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Nacional logo Nacional Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
4 Ulisses N/A
0
5 José Gomes N/A
0
98 Paulinho Bóia 7.0
90
70 Arvin Appiah 6.5
90
71 Fuki Yamada 6.4
46
95 Joel Tagueu 6.7
71
15 Chiheb Labidi 6.8
46
2 João Aurélio 7.2
90
17 Daniel Penha 6.6
46
27 Djibril Soumaré 6.7
46
34 Léo Santos 7.7
90
37 Lucas França 6.6
90
38 Ze Vitor 7.6
90

Bench

88 Matheus Dias 6.8
44
7 Rúben Macedo 7.3
44
10 Luís Esteves 7.1
44
1 Rui Encarnação N/A -
18 André Sousa 7.5
44
20 Jota N/A -
22 Gustavo García N/A -
23 Isaac 6.5
19
33 Francisco Gonçalves N/A -

Rio Ave logo Rio Ave Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
3 A. Ntoi N/A
0
11 Tiago Morais N/A
0
98 O. Richards N/A
0
19 Kiko Bondoso 6.6
65
1 C. Miszta 6.2
90
2 J. Panzo 6.9
90
7 André Luiz 6.0
90
9 Clayton 6.5
90
20 João Tomé 7.3
90
22 João Pedro 6.7
88
29 T. Bakoulas 7.4
65
34 E. Tıknaz 8.3
46
76 Martim Neto 6.7
90
82 K. Kostoulas 6.2
90

Bench

14 K. Zoabi N/A -
6 João Novais 6.8
44
21 João Graça 6.6
25
23 F. Petrasso N/A
1
27 T. Medina N/A -
75 Dijar Ferati N/A -
80 O. Pohlmann 6.6
25
93 Karse N/A
11
95 Matheus Teixeira N/A -

Match Statistics

1.3 Expected Goals (xG) 1.6
55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
11 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 3

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Paulinho Bóia
3
Clayton
3
André Luiz
2
T. Bakoulas
2
E. Tıknaz
2
Martim Neto
2
Joel Tagueu
1
Daniel Penha
1
Léo Santos
1
Ze Vitor
1
João Pedro
1
Key Passes
João Aurélio
3
Paulinho Bóia
2
João Tomé
2
Kiko Bondoso
1
J. Panzo
1
Clayton
1
Tackles Won
Daniel Penha
3
Ze Vitor
3
João Tomé
3
Chiheb Labidi
2
Djibril Soumaré
2
K. Kostoulas
2
Paulinho Bóia
1
Fuki Yamada
1
João Aurélio
1
Léo Santos
1
André Luiz
1
João Pedro
1
Interceptions
E. Tıknaz
3
Arvin Appiah
2
Léo Santos
2
Ze Vitor
2
Kiko Bondoso
2
João Tomé
2
J. Panzo
1
T. Bakoulas
1
Martim Neto
1
K. Kostoulas
1