Genoa vs Milan

Serie A

  • Vítinha
Finished
1 - 2
05 May 2025
  • Rafael Leão

Genoa vs Milan Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 0.9 - 1.6. Milan are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.5 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

0.9 : 1.6

Match Outcome Probability

20.4%
24.6%
55.0%
Genoa Win
Draw
Milan Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Genoa Goal Distribution

35.3%
0
33.2%
1
15.6%
2
5.2%
3
1.6%
4+

Milan Goal Distribution

17.5%
0
30.8%
1
26.4%
2
14.5%
3
9.3%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 74.2%
Over 2.5 49.9%
Over 3.5 27.4%
Over 4.5 15.5%
Under 1.5 25.8%
Under 2.5 50.1%
Under 3.5 72.5%
Under 4.5 84.5%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Genoa logo Genoa Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 N. Leali 6.6
90
2 M. Thorsby 7.0
72
3 Aarón Martín 7.4
90
4 K. De Winter 6.8
90
10 Junior Messias 7.2
60
15 B. Norton-Cuffy 7.3
86
19 A. Pinamonti 6.8
90
20 S. Sabelli 6.8
46
22 J. Vásquez 7.1
90
32 M. Frendrup 7.0
90
73 P. Masini 6.9
90

Bench

9 Vítinha 7.4
30
13 M. Bani N/A -
21 J. Ekhator N/A
4
31 B. Siegrist N/A -
34 S. Otoa N/A -
39 D. Sommariva N/A -
47 M. Badelj N/A -
53 L. Kassa N/A -
59 A. Zanoli 6.8
44
69 H. Ahanor 6.4
18
76 L. Venturino N/A -

Milan logo Milan Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek 6.9
90
9 Luka Jović 6.8
70
11 Christian Pulišić 6.8
79
14 Tijjani Reijnders 6.9
90
16 Mike Maignan 7.2
90
19 Theo Hernández 7.4
90
20 Álex Jiménez 7.0
70
23 Fikayo Tomori 6.9
79
29 Youssouf Fofana 6.7
28
31 Strahinja Pavlović 7.1
90
46 Matteo Gabbia 6.9
90

Bench

7 Santiago Giménez 7.1
20
10 Rafael Leão 7.7
62
21 Samuel Chukwueze N/A -
24 Alessandro Florenzi N/A -
28 Malick Thiaw N/A -
32 Kyle Walker 6.7
11
33 Davide Bartesaghi N/A -
42 Filippo Terracciano N/A -
57 Marco Sportiello N/A -
73 Francesco Camarda N/A -
79 João Félix 6.8
20
80 Yunus Musah 6.6
11
96 Lorenzo Torriani N/A -

Match Statistics

0.8 Expected Goals (xG) 1.1
40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
14 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
M. Frendrup
3
Theo Hernández
3
Junior Messias
2
B. Norton-Cuffy
2
Christian Pulišić
2
Tijjani Reijnders
2
A. Pinamonti
1
S. Sabelli
1
J. Vásquez
1
Matteo Gabbia
1
Key Passes
M. Thorsby
2
Aarón Martín
2
M. Frendrup
2
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
2
Christian Pulišić
2
Junior Messias
1
B. Norton-Cuffy
1
A. Pinamonti
1
Luka Jović
1
Tackles Won
J. Vásquez
2
P. Masini
2
Theo Hernández
2
M. Thorsby
1
Aarón Martín
1
K. De Winter
1
S. Sabelli
1
M. Frendrup
1
Fikayo Tomori
1
Matteo Gabbia
1
Interceptions
K. De Winter
2
M. Frendrup
2
Christian Pulišić
2
Álex Jiménez
2
Aarón Martín
1
S. Sabelli
1
P. Masini
1
Theo Hernández
1
Fikayo Tomori
1