Hamburger SV vs Ulm

2. Bundesliga

  • Daniel Elfadli
  • Davie Selke
  • Ludovit Reis
  • Ransford Königsdörffer (2)
Finished
6 - 1
10 May 2025
Ulm
  • Tom Gaal

Hamburger SV vs Ulm Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 2.0 - 0.7. Hamburger SV are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.7 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

2.0 : 0.7

Match Outcome Probability

65.3%
20.0%
14.8%
Hamburger SV Win
Draw
Ulm Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Hamburger SV Goal Distribution

13.4%
0
24.9%
1
25.2%
2
18.3%
3
17.3%
4+

Ulm Goal Distribution

34.5%
0
30.0%
1
13.7%
2
3.6%
3
1.0%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 78.5%
Over 2.5 57.1%
Over 3.5 35.4%
Over 4.5 23.7%
Under 1.5 21.5%
Under 2.5 42.8%
Under 3.5 64.6%
Under 4.5 76.3%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Hamburger SV logo Hamburger SV Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 William Mikelbrencis 6.6
90
6 Łukasz Poręba 7.2
80
7 Jean-Luc Dompe 7.7
90
8 Daniel Elfadli 7.7
90
11 Ransford Königsdörffer 8.7
69
14 Ludovit Reis 7.4
90
23 Jonas Meffert 7.0
90
27 Davie Selke 7.9
69
28 Miro Muheim 7.6
81
29 Emir Sahiti 6.9
46
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes 7.3
90

Bench

9 Robert Glatzel 7.0
21
10 Immanuel Pherai N/A -
17 Adam Karabec 6.8
21
19 Matheo Raab N/A -
20 Marco Richter 6.9
10
30 Silvan Hefti N/A -
39 Joel Agyekum N/A -
45 Fabio Balde 7.2
44
49 Otto Stange 6.7
9

Ulm logo Ulm Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
4 Tom Gaal 6.5
90
7 Bastian Allgeier 6.0
90
14 Dennis Dressel 7.0
90
16 Aaron Keller 6.6
46
23 Max Brandt 6.6
90
29 Semir Telalović 6.2
67
30 Maurice Krattenmacher 6.6
67
32 Philipp Strompf 6.3
90
33 Felix Higl 7.1
89
43 Romario Rösch 6.5
84
1 Niclas Thiede 5.6
90

Bench

5 Johannes Reichert 6.3
6
6 Thomas Geyer N/A -
9 Lucas Röser 6.3
23
10 Andreas Ludwig 6.8
23
11 Dennis Chessa 6.9
44
13 Robert Leipertz N/A
1
21 Oliver Batista Meier N/A -
38 Luka Hyrylainen N/A -
39 Christian Ortag N/A -

Match Statistics

2.1 Expected Goals (xG) 2.6
48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
10 Fouls 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Philipp Strompf
4
Ransford Königsdörffer
3
Ludovit Reis
3
Davie Selke
3
Maurice Krattenmacher
3
Tom Gaal
2
Dennis Dressel
2
Semir Telalović
2
Jean-Luc Dompe
1
Daniel Elfadli
1
Max Brandt
1
Felix Higl
1
Key Passes
Jean-Luc Dompe
4
Miro Muheim
3
Ludovit Reis
2
Emir Sahiti
2
Bastian Allgeier
2
Ransford Königsdörffer
1
Tom Gaal
1
Dennis Dressel
1
Aaron Keller
1
Felix Higl
1
Romario Rösch
1
Tackles Won
Max Brandt
4
Miro Muheim
2
Dennis Dressel
2
Philipp Strompf
2
William Mikelbrencis
1
Jean-Luc Dompe
1
Ransford Königsdörffer
1
Ludovit Reis
1
Jonas Meffert
1
Emir Sahiti
1
Bastian Allgeier
1
Aaron Keller
1
Felix Higl
1
Romario Rösch
1
Interceptions
Łukasz Poręba
2
Miro Muheim
2
Dennis Dressel
2
Daniel Elfadli
1
Ransford Königsdörffer
1
Ludovit Reis
1
Jonas Meffert
1
Davie Selke
1
Emir Sahiti
1
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
1
Bastian Allgeier
1
Aaron Keller
1
Maurice Krattenmacher
1