Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg

Bundesliga

  • L. Rosenboom
Finished
1 - 2
10 May 2025
  • Johan Manzambi
  • Lucas Höler

Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.1 - 1.7. SC Freiburg are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.8 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.1 : 1.7

Match Outcome Probability

25.4%
24.1%
50.5%
Holstein Kiel Win
Draw
SC Freiburg Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Holstein Kiel Goal Distribution

25.4%
0
32.6%
1
20.3%
2
8.0%
3
3.8%
4+

SC Freiburg Goal Distribution

15.3%
0
28.1%
1
27.1%
2
15.8%
3
10.1%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 81.7%
Over 2.5 59.7%
Over 3.5 35.9%
Over 4.5 21.1%
Under 1.5 18.3%
Under 2.5 40.3%
Under 3.5 64.2%
Under 4.5 78.9%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Holstein Kiel logo Holstein Kiel Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
5 C. Johansson 7.4
79
7 Steven Skrzybski 7.1
90
11 Alexander Bernhardsson 7.0
90
17 Timo Becker 6.6
90
18 Shuto Machino 7.6
90
21 Thomas Dähne 5.7
90
23 L. Rosenboom 7.2
61
24 Magnus Knudsen 7.1
90
26 David Zec 7.0
90
37 A. Gigović 6.5
79
47 John Tolkin 6.9
71

Bench

1 Timon Weiner N/A -
6 Marko Ivezić N/A -
8 Finn Porath 6.9
19
9 B. Pichler 6.9
11
10 Lewis Holtby 6.8
11
14 M. Geschwill N/A -
15 M. Schulz N/A -
19 P. Harres 6.7
29
20 Jann-Fiete Arp N/A -

SC Freiburg logo SC Freiburg Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Noah Atubolu 6.8
90
3 Philipp Lienhart 7.3
90
6 Patrick Osterhage 6.8
90
8 Maximilian Eggestein 7.3
90
20 Chukwubuike Adamu 7.3
90
28 Matthias Ginter 6.8
90
32 Vincenzo Grifo 8.1
76
33 Jordy Makengo 7.2
90
37 Maximilian Rosenfelder 6.6
76
42 Ritsu Doan 7.5
90
44 Johan Manzambi 7.2
46

Bench

9 Lucas Höler 7.4
44
17 Lukas Kübler 7.1
14
23 Florent Muslija N/A -
24 Jannik Huth N/A -
25 Kiliann Sildillia N/A
1
27 Nicolas Höfler N/A
1
30 Christian Günter 6.7
14
34 Merlin Röhl N/A -
38 Michael Gregoritsch N/A -

Match Statistics

1.0 Expected Goals (xG) 1.5
60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
9 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Offsides 2

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Steven Skrzybski
3
Shuto Machino
2
L. Rosenboom
2
Chukwubuike Adamu
2
Ritsu Doan
2
Alexander Bernhardsson
1
Magnus Knudsen
1
David Zec
1
John Tolkin
1
Patrick Osterhage
1
Matthias Ginter
1
Vincenzo Grifo
1
Johan Manzambi
1
Key Passes
Vincenzo Grifo
4
C. Johansson
2
Shuto Machino
2
A. Gigović
2
Chukwubuike Adamu
2
Steven Skrzybski
1
Magnus Knudsen
1
Maximilian Eggestein
1
Jordy Makengo
1
Tackles Won
Magnus Knudsen
2
John Tolkin
2
L. Rosenboom
1
Patrick Osterhage
1
Maximilian Eggestein
1
Vincenzo Grifo
1
Ritsu Doan
1
Interceptions
Maximilian Eggestein
2
Philipp Lienhart
1
Patrick Osterhage
1
Jordy Makengo
1
Maximilian Rosenfelder
1
Johan Manzambi
1