Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga

  • Jeremie Frimpong
  • Jonas Hofmann
Finished
2 - 4
11 May 2025
  • Julian Brandt
  • Julian Ryerson
  • Karim Adeyemi
  • Serhou Guirassy

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 2.0 - 0.9. Bayer 04 Leverkusen are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 3.0 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

2.0 : 0.9

Match Outcome Probability

61.6%
20.3%
18.1%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Win
Draw
Borussia Dortmund Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Goal Distribution

10.9%
0
23.8%
1
26.4%
2
18.4%
3
18.1%
4+

Borussia Dortmund Goal Distribution

27.0%
0
29.6%
1
16.7%
2
6.2%
3
2.7%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 83.9%
Over 2.5 64.3%
Over 3.5 42.1%
Over 4.5 27.9%
Under 1.5 16.1%
Under 2.5 35.7%
Under 3.5 57.9%
Under 4.5 72.1%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen logo Bayer 04 Leverkusen Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Lukáš Hrádecký 5.7
90
3 Piero Hincapié 7.1
78
4 Jonathan Tah 6.3
90
8 Robert Andrich 7.3
66
10 Florian Wirtz 8.9
90
12 Edmond Tapsoba 6.5
90
19 Nathan Tella 6.5
59
20 Alejandro Grimaldo 6.9
90
21 Amine Adli 7.5
59
30 Jeremie Frimpong 7.9
90
34 Granit Xhaka 7.2
78

Bench

14 Patrik Schick 6.5
31
7 Jonas Hofmann 7.1
31
13 Arthur 6.8
12
16 Emiliano Buendía N/A -
17 Matěj Kovář N/A -
22 Victor Okoh Boniface N/A -
24 Aleix García 6.9
12
25 Exequiel Palacios 6.8
24
36 Niklas Lomb N/A -

Borussia Dortmund logo Borussia Dortmund Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Gregor Kobel 8.0
90
3 Waldemar Anton 6.8
90
5 Ramy Bensebaini 6.9
90
8 Felix Nmecha 6.6
46
9 Serhou Guirassy 7.9
90
10 Julian Brandt 8.6
87
13 Pascal Groß 7.1
82
24 Daniel Svensson 6.8
90
25 Niklas Süle 7.3
90
26 Julian Ryerson 7.5
87
27 Karim Adeyemi 7.9
74

Bench

2 Yan Couto N/A
3
6 Salih Özcan 6.4
8
7 Giovanni Reyna N/A -
16 Julien Duranville N/A -
17 Carney Chukwuemeka N/A -
20 Marcel Sabitzer 6.7
44
23 Emre Can 6.6
16
33 Alexander Meyer N/A -
43 Jamie Bynoe-Gittens N/A
3

Match Statistics

2.0 Expected Goals (xG) 1.0
62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 0
7 Fouls 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
5 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Florian Wirtz
6
Nathan Tella
3
Alejandro Grimaldo
2
Amine Adli
2
Serhou Guirassy
2
Julian Brandt
2
Piero Hincapié
1
Jonathan Tah
1
Robert Andrich
1
Jeremie Frimpong
1
Ramy Bensebaini
1
Pascal Groß
1
Julian Ryerson
1
Karim Adeyemi
1
Key Passes
Florian Wirtz
4
Amine Adli
3
Nathan Tella
2
Alejandro Grimaldo
2
Jeremie Frimpong
2
Julian Brandt
2
Piero Hincapié
1
Granit Xhaka
1
Serhou Guirassy
1
Pascal Groß
1
Niklas Süle
1
Karim Adeyemi
1
Tackles Won
Piero Hincapié
4
Niklas Süle
3
Jeremie Frimpong
2
Ramy Bensebaini
2
Julian Brandt
2
Daniel Svensson
2
Julian Ryerson
2
Robert Andrich
1
Edmond Tapsoba
1
Alejandro Grimaldo
1
Serhou Guirassy
1
Interceptions
Robert Andrich
3
Ramy Bensebaini
3
Julian Ryerson
3
Jonathan Tah
1
Alejandro Grimaldo
1
Granit Xhaka
1
Gregor Kobel
1
Felix Nmecha
1
Karim Adeyemi
1