Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United

Championship

Finished
1 - 2
03 May 2025
  • Manor Solomon
  • Wilfried Gnonto

Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 0.6 - 2.0. Leeds United are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.6 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

0.6 : 2.0

Match Outcome Probability

13.7%
18.8%
67.5%
Plymouth Argyle Win
Draw
Leeds United Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Plymouth Argyle Goal Distribution

38.5%
0
30.3%
1
11.6%
2
2.6%
3
0.7%
4+

Leeds United Goal Distribution

13.7%
0
25.2%
1
26.2%
2
18.0%
3
16.3%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 77.7%
Over 2.5 54.0%
Over 3.5 31.2%
Over 4.5 20.5%
Under 1.5 22.3%
Under 2.5 46.0%
Under 3.5 68.8%
Under 4.5 79.5%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Plymouth Argyle logo Plymouth Argyle Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 Bali Mumba 7.2
90
6 Kornél Szűcs 6.6
79
8 Joe Edwards 6.8
79
9 Ryan Hardie 6.4
90
15 Mustapha Bundu 7.4
81
20 Adam Randell 7.0
90
21 Conor Hazard 6.3
90
26 Muhamed Tijani 6.6
67
34 Caleb Roberts 7.0
67
40 Maksym Talovierov 7.1
90
44 Victor Pálsson 6.7
90

Bench

3 Nathanael Ogbeta N/A -
4 Jordan Houghton N/A -
11 Callum Wright 6.5
23
19 Malachi Boateng 6.6
23
25 Nikola Katić 6.6
11
29 Matthew Sorinola 6.4
11
30 Michael Baidoo 7.0
9
31 Daniel Grimshaw N/A -
35 Frederick Issaka N/A -

Leeds United logo Leeds United Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
4 Ethan Ampadu 7.6
90
6 Joe Rodon 7.5
90
11 Brenden Aaronson 7.4
79
26 Karl Darlow 6.4
90
2 Jayden Bogle 7.4
90
10 Joël Piroe 6.8
90
14 Manor Solomon 8.3
90
22 Ao Tanaka 7.4
79
25 Sam Byram 7.0
69
29 Wilfried Gnonto 8.7
90
44 Ilia Gruev 7.4
90

Bench

23 Josuha Guilavogui N/A -
1 Illan Meslier N/A -
8 Joe Rothwell N/A -
9 Patrick Bamford 6.6
11
17 Largie Ramazani 6.6
11
19 Mateo Joseph 6.5
8
33 Isaac Schmidt N/A -
39 Maximilian Wöber 6.9
21
45 Harry Gray N/A -

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
23% Possession 77%
6 Shots 25
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
16 Fouls 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Offsides 4

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Wilfried Gnonto
6
Brenden Aaronson
4
Manor Solomon
4
Mustapha Bundu
3
Jayden Bogle
3
Joël Piroe
2
Ao Tanaka
2
Sam Byram
2
Ilia Gruev
2
Ryan Hardie
1
Caleb Roberts
1
Key Passes
Manor Solomon
7
Jayden Bogle
3
Wilfried Gnonto
3
Bali Mumba
2
Ao Tanaka
2
Ilia Gruev
2
Muhamed Tijani
1
Victor Pálsson
1
Joe Rodon
1
Brenden Aaronson
1
Sam Byram
1
Tackles Won
Ilia Gruev
3
Maksym Talovierov
2
Ethan Ampadu
2
Ao Tanaka
2
Wilfried Gnonto
2
Bali Mumba
1
Joe Edwards
1
Adam Randell
1
Caleb Roberts
1
Victor Pálsson
1
Sam Byram
1
Interceptions
Adam Randell
3
Caleb Roberts
3
Joe Edwards
2
Joe Rodon
2
Bali Mumba
1
Mustapha Bundu
1
Maksym Talovierov
1
Ethan Ampadu
1
Ao Tanaka
1
Ilia Gruev
1