Montpellier vs Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1

  • Tanguy Coulibaly
Finished
1 - 4
10 May 2025
  • Gonçalo Ramos (3)
  • Senny Mayulu

Montpellier vs Paris Saint Germain Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 0.5 - 2.3. Paris Saint Germain are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.8 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

0.5 : 2.3

Match Outcome Probability

7.6%
14.8%
77.6%
Montpellier Win
Draw
Paris Saint Germain Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Montpellier Goal Distribution

40.8%
0
21.2%
1
7.3%
2
2.0%
3
0.7%
4+

Paris Saint Germain Goal Distribution

10.1%
0
19.9%
1
22.7%
2
18.7%
3
28.1%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 79.6%
Over 2.5 60.4%
Over 3.5 40.3%
Over 4.5 31.9%
Under 1.5 20.4%
Under 2.5 39.6%
Under 3.5 59.7%
Under 4.5 68.2%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Montpellier logo Montpellier Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
17 Théo Sainte-Luce N/A
0
47 Yael Mouanga 6.4
90
70 Tanguy Coulibaly 7.8
90
12 Jordan Ferri 6.2
68
13 Joris Chotard 7.1
85
19 Rabby Nzingoula 6.9
84
21 Lucas Mincarelli 6.4
90
22 Khalil Fayad 6.9
90
27 Becir Omeragic  6.5
90
29 Enzo Tchato Mbiayi 6.1
67
40 Benjamin Lecomte  6.4
90
44 Théo Chennahi 6.3
84

Bench

41 Junior Ndiaye 7.0
22
77 Falaye Sacko N/A -
2 Bamo Meïté  N/A -
4 Kiki Kouyaté N/A -
10 Wahbi Khazri 7.1
6
11 Téji Savanier 6.5
5
16 Dimitry Bertaud N/A -
45 Stefan Dzodic 6.9
6
49 Wilfried Chancy Ndollo Bille 6.5
23

Paris Saint Germain logo Paris Saint Germain Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
9 Gonçalo Ramos 9.2
90
14 Désiré Doué 7.5
60
19 Kang-in Lee  6.8
90
21 Lucas Hernández 7.3
90
24 Senny Mayulu 7.5
90
29 Bradley Barcola 6.8
68
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery 8.4
90
35 Lucas Beraldo 7.2
90
48 Axel Tape 6.8
90
49 Ibrahim Mbaye 6.7
90
80 Arnau Tenas 7.2
90

Bench

7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia N/A -
34 Wassim Slama N/A -
39 Matvey Safonov N/A -
42 Yoram Zague 7.1
22
43 Noham Kamara 6.7
30
44 Quentin Ndjantou N/A -
87 Joao Neves N/A -

Match Statistics

0.6 Expected Goals (xG) 1.6
31% Possession 69%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
14 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 0

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Gonçalo Ramos
4
Tanguy Coulibaly
2
Ibrahim Mbaye
2
Joris Chotard
1
Rabby Nzingoula
1
Khalil Fayad
1
Théo Chennahi
1
Kang-in Lee 
1
Senny Mayulu
1
Bradley Barcola
1
Axel Tape
1
Key Passes
Jordan Ferri
2
Warren Zaïre-Emery
2
Arnau Tenas
2
Tanguy Coulibaly
1
Joris Chotard
1
Khalil Fayad
1
Becir Omeragic 
1
Théo Chennahi
1
Kang-in Lee 
1
Senny Mayulu
1
Ibrahim Mbaye
1
Tackles Won
Joris Chotard
4
Warren Zaïre-Emery
3
Tanguy Coulibaly
2
Enzo Tchato Mbiayi
2
Désiré Doué
2
Lucas Hernández
2
Senny Mayulu
2
Yael Mouanga
1
Jordan Ferri
1
Rabby Nzingoula
1
Lucas Mincarelli
1
Khalil Fayad
1
Becir Omeragic 
1
Théo Chennahi
1
Lucas Beraldo
1
Axel Tape
1
Interceptions
Warren Zaïre-Emery
4
Yael Mouanga
2
Rabby Nzingoula
2
Lucas Mincarelli
2
Lucas Hernández
2
Khalil Fayad
1
Becir Omeragic 
1
Théo Chennahi
1
Désiré Doué
1
Kang-in Lee 
1
Lucas Beraldo
1