Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alavés

La Liga

Finished
1 - 0
11 May 2025

Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alavés Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.6 - 0.7. Athletic Club are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.3 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.6 : 0.7

Match Outcome Probability

58.8%
25.4%
15.8%
Athletic Club Win
Draw
Deportivo Alavés Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Athletic Club Goal Distribution

18.4%
0
31.9%
1
26.5%
2
14.3%
3
8.4%
4+

Deportivo Alavés Goal Distribution

42.7%
0
32.9%
1
12.6%
2
3.0%
3
0.7%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 69.6%
Over 2.5 43.8%
Over 3.5 22.3%
Over 4.5 12.5%
Under 1.5 30.4%
Under 2.5 56.2%
Under 3.5 77.7%
Under 4.5 87.5%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Athletic Club logo Athletic Club Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Unai Simón 6.8
90
3 Daniel Vivian 7.7
90
5 Yeray Álvarez 7.4
90
11 Álvaro Djaló 6.6
55
16 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 7.6
90
17 Yuri Berchiche 7.7
90
18 Óscar de Marcos 7.7
90
21 Maroan Sannadi 6.9
90
23 Mikel Jauregizar 7.8
90
28 Peio Canales 7.5
67
33 Aingeru Olabarrieta 6.5
55

Bench

4 Aitor Paredes N/A -
6 Mikel Vesga N/A
1
8 Oihan Sancet 6.9
23
12 Gorka Guruzeta 6.8
35
13 Julen Agirrezabala N/A -
14 Unai Núñez N/A -
15 Íñigo Lekue N/A
1
20 Unai Gómez 6.5
35
32 Adama Boiro N/A -
35 Alejandro Rego N/A -
43 Endika Buján N/A -

Deportivo Alavés logo Deportivo Alavés Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Antonio Sivera 6.9
90
2 Facundo Garcés 6.5
90
3 Manuel Sánchez 6.7
72
6 Ander Guevara 6.5
90
7 Carlos Vicente 7.0
90
8 Antonio Blanco 7.0
77
12 Santiago Mouriño 7.3
90
18 Jon Guridi 6.9
87
11 Toni Martínez 6.9
72
21 Carles Aleñá 6.9
87
22 Moussa Diarra 6.7
90

Bench

14 Nahuel Tenaglia 6.8
18
17 Kike García N/A -
4 Aleksandar Sedlar N/A -
9 Asier Villalibre 6.9
18
10 Tomás Conechny N/A -
13 Jesús Owono N/A -
15 Carlos Martín 6.8
13
16 Hugo Novoa Ramos N/A -
19 Pau Cabanes De La Torre N/A
3
23 Carlos Benavídez N/A
3
24 Joan Jordán N/A -
36 Adrián Pica N/A -

Match Statistics

0.8 Expected Goals (xG) 0.7
60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
17 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
0 Offsides 2

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Maroan Sannadi
3
Daniel Vivian
2
Yeray Álvarez
1
Yuri Berchiche
1
Óscar de Marcos
1
Mikel Jauregizar
1
Ander Guevara
1
Toni Martínez
1
Key Passes
Peio Canales
4
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
3
Carlos Vicente
1
Carles Aleñá
1
Tackles Won
Mikel Jauregizar
4
Manuel Sánchez
3
Santiago Mouriño
3
Óscar de Marcos
2
Antonio Blanco
2
Yuri Berchiche
1
Facundo Garcés
1
Ander Guevara
1
Jon Guridi
1
Moussa Diarra
1
Interceptions
Yuri Berchiche
4
Daniel Vivian
3
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
3
Yeray Álvarez
1
Óscar de Marcos
1
Mikel Jauregizar
1
Aingeru Olabarrieta
1
Carlos Vicente
1
Antonio Blanco
1
Santiago Mouriño
1
Jon Guridi
1