Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad

La Liga

  • Alexander Sørloth (4)
Finished
4 - 0
10 May 2025

Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.8 - 0.8. Atlético Madrid are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.6 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.8 : 0.8

Match Outcome Probability

58.9%
22.5%
18.5%
Atlético Madrid Win
Draw
Real Sociedad Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Atlético Madrid Goal Distribution

14.9%
0
28.8%
1
26.5%
2
16.4%
3
11.9%
4+

Real Sociedad Goal Distribution

34.2%
0
32.3%
1
15.3%
2
4.7%
3
1.6%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 77.2%
Over 2.5 53.4%
Over 3.5 31.1%
Over 4.5 18.7%
Under 1.5 22.8%
Under 2.5 46.6%
Under 3.5 68.9%
Under 4.5 81.3%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Atlético Madrid logo Atlético Madrid Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 José María Giménez 7.9
90
5 Rodrigo de Paul 7.0
74
6 Koke 7.3
90
8 Pablo Barrios 7.3
55
9 Alexander Sørloth 9.9
74
12 Samuel Lino 7.4
68
13 Jan Oblak 6.8
90
14 Marcos Llorente 7.8
90
21 Javi Galán 7.5
90
22 Giuliano Simeone 7.3
68
24 Robin Le Normand 7.2
90

Bench

1 Juan Musso N/A -
3 César Azpilicueta N/A -
4 Conor Gallagher 6.7
16
7 Antoine Griezmann 6.7
22
10 Ángel Correa 6.8
16
11 Thomas Lemar 6.7
22
15 Clément Lenglet N/A -
16 Nahuel Molina 6.8
35
20 Axel Witsel N/A -
23 Reinildo Isnard Mandava N/A -
31 Antonio Gomis N/A -

Real Sociedad logo Real Sociedad Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Álex Remiro 6.0
90
4 Martín Zubimendi 6.8
73
10 Mikel Oyarzabal 6.6
46
21 Naif Aguerd N/A
0
6 Aritz Elustondo 6.6
90
7 Barrenetxea 6.3
54
12 Javi López 6.2
90
14 Takefusa Kubo 7.0
46
19 Jon Mikel Aramburu Mejías 6.3
90
24 Luka Sučić 6.5
61
28 Pablo Marín 6.7
90
31 Jon Martín 6.7
90

Bench

3 Aihen Muñoz N/A -
2 Odriozola N/A -
5 Zubeldia 6.9
44
13 Unai Marrero N/A -
16 Jon Olasagasti 6.8
17
17 Sergio Gómez 7.0
36
18 Hamari Traoré N/A -
20 Jon Pacheco N/A -
22 Beñat Turrientes 6.8
29
23 Brais Méndez N/A -
35 Egoitz Arana N/A -
40 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena 6.8
44

Match Statistics

1.4 Expected Goals (xG) 0.6
61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
7 Fouls 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Alexander Sørloth
5
Samuel Lino
2
Martín Zubimendi
2
Rodrigo de Paul
1
Javi Galán
1
Giuliano Simeone
1
Barrenetxea
1
Luka Sučić
1
Key Passes
Samuel Lino
2
Giuliano Simeone
2
Pablo Marín
2
Koke
1
Pablo Barrios
1
Alexander Sørloth
1
Marcos Llorente
1
Javi Galán
1
Takefusa Kubo
1
Luka Sučić
1
Tackles Won
Marcos Llorente
3
Mikel Oyarzabal
2
Jon Mikel Aramburu Mejías
2
José María Giménez
1
Samuel Lino
1
Javi Galán
1
Robin Le Normand
1
Aritz Elustondo
1
Takefusa Kubo
1
Jon Martín
1
Interceptions
Marcos Llorente
2
Javi Galán
2
José María Giménez
1
Pablo Barrios
1
Robin Le Normand
1
Martín Zubimendi
1
Barrenetxea
1