Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid

La Liga

Finished
0 - 0
03 May 2025

Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 0.7 - 1.6. Atlético Madrid are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.3 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

0.7 : 1.6

Match Outcome Probability

15.8%
24.4%
59.8%
Deportivo Alavés Win
Draw
Atlético Madrid Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Deportivo Alavés Goal Distribution

43.5%
0
32.9%
1
12.2%
2
2.5%
3
0.5%
4+

Atlético Madrid Goal Distribution

18.6%
0
31.9%
1
25.9%
2
14.6%
3
8.4%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 68.8%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Over 3.5 21.6%
Over 4.5 12.0%
Under 1.5 31.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%
Under 3.5 78.3%
Under 4.5 88.0%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Deportivo Alavés logo Deportivo Alavés Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
17 Kike García 7.1
90
1 Antonio Sivera 6.9
90
2 Facundo Garcés 7.3
90
3 Manuel Sánchez 6.6
90
6 Ander Guevara 7.0
72
7 Carlos Vicente 6.8
90
8 Antonio Blanco 7.0
90
12 Santiago Mouriño 7.3
90
14 Nahuel Tenaglia 7.7
90
18 Jon Guridi 6.6
72
21 Carles Aleñá 7.0
90

Bench

4 Aleksandar Sedlar N/A -
9 Asier Villalibre N/A -
10 Tomás Conechny N/A
1
11 Toni Martínez N/A -
13 Jesús Owono N/A -
15 Carlos Martín N/A -
16 Hugo Novoa Ramos N/A -
19 Pau Cabanes De La Torre N/A -
22 Moussa Diarra N/A -
23 Carlos Benavídez 6.8
18
24 Joan Jordán 6.8
18
36 Adrián Pica N/A -

Atlético Madrid logo Atlético Madrid Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
4 Conor Gallagher 7.2
72
5 Rodrigo de Paul 7.3
67
7 Antoine Griezmann 6.9
59
8 Pablo Barrios 7.4
72
13 Jan Oblak 7.2
90
14 Marcos Llorente 7.9
90
15 Clément Lenglet 7.6
90
19 Julián Álvarez 6.9
90
21 Javi Galán 8.1
90
22 Giuliano Simeone 6.6
60
24 Robin Le Normand 7.5
90

Bench

6 Koke 7.1
23
9 Alexander Sørloth 6.9
31
1 Juan Musso N/A -
2 José María Giménez N/A -
3 César Azpilicueta 6.5 -
10 Ángel Correa 6.8
18
11 Thomas Lemar N/A -
12 Samuel Lino 7.4
30
16 Nahuel Molina 6.9
18
20 Axel Witsel N/A -
23 Reinildo Isnard Mandava N/A -
31 Antonio Gomis N/A -

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
18 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 0

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Kike García
4
Carles Aleñá
2
Carlos Vicente
1
Jon Guridi
1
Conor Gallagher
1
Clément Lenglet
1
Robin Le Normand
1
Key Passes
Julián Álvarez
2
Manuel Sánchez
1
Carlos Vicente
1
Antonio Blanco
1
Nahuel Tenaglia
1
Rodrigo de Paul
1
Marcos Llorente
1
Tackles Won
Javi Galán
5
Rodrigo de Paul
4
Marcos Llorente
4
Ander Guevara
2
Antonio Blanco
2
Santiago Mouriño
2
Nahuel Tenaglia
2
Clément Lenglet
2
Kike García
1
Manuel Sánchez
1
Carles Aleñá
1
Antoine Griezmann
1
Pablo Barrios
1
Julián Álvarez
1
Giuliano Simeone
1
Interceptions
Carles Aleñá
2
Manuel Sánchez
1
Ander Guevara
1
Carlos Vicente
1
Antonio Blanco
1
Santiago Mouriño
1
Nahuel Tenaglia
1
Jon Guridi
1
Pablo Barrios
1