Arouca vs Casa Pia

Liga Portugal

Finished
0 - 0
04 May 2025

Arouca vs Casa Pia Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.4 - 1.1. Arouca are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.5 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.4 : 1.1

Match Outcome Probability

42.0%
27.8%
30.2%
Arouca Win
Draw
Casa Pia Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Arouca Goal Distribution

23.5%
0
33.8%
1
23.5%
2
11.1%
3
5.5%
4+

Casa Pia Goal Distribution

29.4%
0
34.7%
1
20.3%
2
7.5%
3
2.9%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 72.8%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Over 3.5 25.6%
Over 4.5 13.4%
Under 1.5 27.2%
Under 2.5 52.2%
Under 3.5 74.5%
Under 4.5 86.6%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Arouca logo Arouca Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 João Valido 6.9
90
2 Morlaye Sylla 7.6
90
3 Jose Fontán 7.1
90
13 Boris Popović 7.1
90
19 Alfonso Trezza 7.3
90
21 Taichi Fukui 6.7
57
23 Dylan Nandín 7.0
77
24 Brian Mansilla 6.5
69
26 Weverson 7.5
90
78 Alex Pinto 7.0
77
89 Pedro Santos 7.2
90

Bench

10 Jason 7.0
33
11 Miguel Puche 7.0
13
20 Pedro Moreira N/A -
27 Amadou Dante N/A -
30 Jakub Vinarčík N/A -
39 Henrique Araújo 6.4
21
50 Güven Yalçın 7.1
13
58 Nico Mantl N/A -
73 Chico Lamba N/A -

Casa Pia logo Casa Pia Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Patrick Sequeira 7.3
90
5 Leonardo Lelo 7.1
90
6 José Fonte 6.8
43
12 Fahem Benaissa-Yahia 6.9
90
18 André Geraldes 7.5
90
24 Iyad Mohamed 6.8
90
72 Gaizka Larrazabal 7.3
90
80 Pablo 6.8
64
88 Cauê 6.6
46
89 Andrian Kraev 7.3
90
90 Cassiano 6.7
90

Bench

4 João Goulart 6.9
44
9 Max Svensson 6.5
1
11 Tiago Dias 6.5
1
14 Miguel Sousa N/A -
17 Rafael Brito N/A -
33 Ricardo Batista N/A -
44 Isaac Monteiro N/A -
52 Henrique Pereira 6.7
26
57 Renato Nhaga N/A -

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
14 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
0 Red Cards 1
2 Offsides 0

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Morlaye Sylla
3
Alfonso Trezza
3
Gaizka Larrazabal
3
Brian Mansilla
2
Taichi Fukui
1
Dylan Nandín
1
Weverson
1
Pedro Santos
1
José Fonte
1
Key Passes
Morlaye Sylla
2
Jose Fontán
1
Alfonso Trezza
1
Brian Mansilla
1
Weverson
1
Pedro Santos
1
Gaizka Larrazabal
1
Tackles Won
Alfonso Trezza
2
Pedro Santos
2
Boris Popović
1
Taichi Fukui
1
Dylan Nandín
1
Leonardo Lelo
1
Iyad Mohamed
1
Gaizka Larrazabal
1
Cassiano
1
Interceptions
Weverson
4
Gaizka Larrazabal
3
Alex Pinto
2
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia
2
André Geraldes
2
Andrian Kraev
2
Morlaye Sylla
1
Boris Popović
1
Alfonso Trezza
1
Taichi Fukui
1
Pedro Santos
1
José Fonte
1
Pablo
1
Cassiano
1