Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo

La Liga

  • Arda Güler
  • Kylian Mbappé (2)
Finished
3 - 2
04 May 2025
  • Javi Rodríguez
  • Williot Swedberg

Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 2.1 - 0.8. Real Madrid are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 2.9 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

2.1 : 0.8

Match Outcome Probability

66.5%
19.6%
14.0%
Real Madrid Win
Draw
Celta de Vigo Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Real Madrid Goal Distribution

10.6%
0
23.2%
1
26.5%
2
20.3%
3
17.9%
4+

Celta de Vigo Goal Distribution

32.3%
0
29.7%
1
14.0%
2
4.6%
3
1.8%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 82.0%
Over 2.5 61.8%
Over 3.5 39.6%
Over 4.5 25.7%
Under 1.5 18.0%
Under 2.5 38.2%
Under 3.5 60.4%
Under 4.5 74.3%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

Real Madrid logo Real Madrid Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Thibaut Courtois 7.4
90
5 Jude Bellingham 7.4
90
7 Vinícius Júnior 7.6
90
8 Federico Valverde 7.2
90
9 Kylian Mbappé 8.9
90
14 Aurélien Tchouaméni 7.0
90
15 Arda Güler 8.7
83
17 Lucas Vázquez 7.7
90
19 Dani Ceballos 7.2
74
20 Fran García 7.0
90
35 Raúl Asencio 7.1
67

Bench

10 Luka Modrić 6.4
16
13 Andriy Lunin N/A -
16 Endrick N/A -
18 Jesús Vallejo N/A -
21 Brahim Díaz 6.6
7
29 Youssef Lekhedim N/A -
31 Jacobo Naveros 6.6
23
34 Sergio Mestre N/A -

Celta de Vigo logo Celta de Vigo Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
3 Óscar Mingueza 7.7
90
5 Sergio Carreira 6.4
54
7 Borja Iglesias 6.6
65
8 Fran Beltrán 6.3
54
12 Alfon González 6.8
65
13 Vicente Guaita 6.5
90
4 Hugo Sotelo 7.5
75
20 Marcos Alonso 6.8
90
28 Fer López 6.9
90
29 Yoel Lago 6.5
90
32 Javi Rodríguez 7.3
90

Bench

1 Iván Villar N/A -
6 Ilaix Moriba 7.1
36
10 Iago Aspas 7.8
15
11 Franco Cervi N/A -
14 Iker Losada N/A -
16 Jailson N/A -
18 Pablo Durán 7.4
25
19 Williot Swedberg 7.4
25
21 Mihailo Ristić N/A -
23 Hugo Álvarez 6.7
36
24 Carlos Domínguez N/A -
25 Damián Rodríguez N/A -

Match Statistics

0.0 Expected Goals (xG) 0.0
54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
5 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
0 Offsides 1

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Kylian Mbappé
4
Arda Güler
4
Jude Bellingham
3
Vinícius Júnior
2
Óscar Mingueza
2
Marcos Alonso
2
Aurélien Tchouaméni
1
Dani Ceballos
1
Fran García
1
Alfon González
1
Fer López
1
Javi Rodríguez
1
Key Passes
Arda Güler
3
Óscar Mingueza
3
Hugo Sotelo
3
Kylian Mbappé
2
Fran García
2
Thibaut Courtois
1
Jude Bellingham
1
Vinícius Júnior
1
Federico Valverde
1
Aurélien Tchouaméni
1
Lucas Vázquez
1
Dani Ceballos
1
Raúl Asencio
1
Marcos Alonso
1
Fer López
1
Tackles Won
Óscar Mingueza
3
Fran García
2
Vinícius Júnior
1
Arda Güler
1
Dani Ceballos
1
Raúl Asencio
1
Javi Rodríguez
1
Interceptions
Yoel Lago
2
Jude Bellingham
1
Federico Valverde
1
Kylian Mbappé
1
Aurélien Tchouaméni
1
Sergio Carreira
1
Hugo Sotelo
1
Marcos Alonso
1
Fer López
1