FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid

La Liga

  • Eric García
  • Lamine Yamal
  • Raphinha (2)
Finished
4 - 3
11 May 2025
  • Kylian Mbappé (3)

FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.8 - 1.2. FC Barcelona are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 3.0 goals, this match is expected to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.8 : 1.2

Match Outcome Probability

51.3%
23.1%
25.7%
FC Barcelona Win
Draw
Real Madrid Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

FC Barcelona Goal Distribution

12.7%
0
26.2%
1
26.2%
2
17.1%
3
13.4%
4+

Real Madrid Goal Distribution

21.7%
0
29.8%
1
21.1%
2
9.6%
3
4.9%
4+

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 1.5 84.4%
Over 2.5 64.8%
Over 3.5 44.0%
Over 4.5 27.6%
Under 1.5 15.6%
Under 2.5 35.2%
Under 3.5 56.0%
Under 4.5 72.4%

Match Lineups & Player Stats

Performance statistics from the completed match, showing starters and substitutes.

FC Barcelona logo FC Barcelona Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
2 Pau Cubarsí 6.6
57
5 Iñigo Martínez 6.4
90
7 Ferran Torres 7.9
89
8 Pedri 7.6
90
11 Raphinha 7.9
90
19 Lamine Yamal 8.6
90
21 Frenkie de Jong 7.2
90
20 Dani Olmo 6.7
77
24 Eric García 7.3
78
25 Wojciech Szczęsny 5.9
90
35 Gerard Martín 6.5
57

Bench

16 Fermín López 7.2
13
1 Marc-André ter Stegen N/A -
3 Alejandro Balde 6.7
33
4 Ronald Araújo 6.5 -
6 Gavi N/A
1
9 Robert Lewandowski N/A -
10 Ansu Fati N/A -
13 Iñaki Peña N/A -
15 Andreas Christensen 6.8
33
17 Marc Casadó N/A -
18 Pau Víctor N/A -
32 Hector Fort 6.8
12

Real Madrid logo Real Madrid Stats

Starting XI

# Player Rating Mins
1 Thibaut Courtois 6.5
90
5 Jude Bellingham 6.8
90
7 Vinícius Júnior 8.0
88
8 Federico Valverde 7.0
90
9 Kylian Mbappé 9.3
90
14 Aurélien Tchouaméni 6.9
90
15 Arda Güler 6.2
46
17 Lucas Vázquez 6.1
84
19 Dani Ceballos 5.5
46
20 Fran García 6.5
90
35 Raúl Asencio 6.3
90

Bench

10 Luka Modrić 7.2
44
11 Rodrygo N/A -
13 Andriy Lunin N/A -
16 Endrick 6.5
6
18 Jesús Vallejo N/A -
21 Brahim Díaz 7.0
44
29 Youssef Lekhedim N/A -
31 Jacobo Naveros N/A -
34 Sergio Mestre N/A -
44 Víctor Muñoz 6.2
2

Match Statistics

3.4 Expected Goals (xG) 2.1
62% Possession 38%
23 Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
17 Fouls 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Offsides 5

Key Player Statistics

Shots
Lamine Yamal
7
Raphinha
6
Kylian Mbappé
5
Ferran Torres
4
Pau Cubarsí
1
Iñigo Martínez
1
Dani Olmo
1
Eric García
1
Gerard Martín
1
Vinícius Júnior
1
Aurélien Tchouaméni
1
Key Passes
Ferran Torres
3
Pedri
3
Raphinha
3
Lamine Yamal
3
Vinícius Júnior
3
Dani Olmo
2
Kylian Mbappé
1
Lucas Vázquez
1
Fran García
1
Tackles Won
Eric García
3
Lucas Vázquez
3
Frenkie de Jong
2
Federico Valverde
2
Fran García
2
Pau Cubarsí
1
Jude Bellingham
1
Aurélien Tchouaméni
1
Arda Güler
1
Raúl Asencio
1
Interceptions
Frenkie de Jong
2
Jude Bellingham
2
Federico Valverde
2
Lamine Yamal
1
Eric García
1
Aurélien Tchouaméni
1
Fran García
1