Genoa vs Lecce - Serie A Preview and Prediction

Preview
14 Mar 2025, 19:45
Serie A | 2024-2025

Genoa vs Lecce Match Preview

Comprehensive preview and analysis of the Serie A match between Genoa and Lecce.

Genoa host Lecce in the Serie A on 14 March 2025. Our prediction model gives Genoa a 58.0% chance of winning, while Lecce have a 13.7% chance, with a 28.3% probability of a draw.

Detailed Team Form Analysis

Recent performance metrics for Genoa and Lecce. Use the filters to view different match counts and home/away splits.

Genoa logo Genoa Recent Form Breakdown

W-D-L
Goals Scored
Goals Conceded
Clean Sheets
Avg xG
Avg xG Against
Recent Matches

Lecce logo Lecce Recent Form Breakdown

W-D-L
Goals Scored
Goals Conceded
Clean Sheets
Avg xG
Avg xG Against
Recent Matches

Genoa Recent Form and Statistics

Genoa have a recent record of 1-3-1 (W-D-L) over their last 5 matches (all competitions), scoring 5 goals and conceding 4. They've kept 1 clean sheets in this period, with an average of 0.87 expected goals per game.

Genoa Key Players to Watch

Lecce Recent Form and Statistics

Lecce have a recent record of 0-2-3 (W-D-L) over their last 5 matches (all competitions), scoring 2 goals and conceding 5. They've kept 2 clean sheets in this period, with an average of 0.73 expected goals per game.

Lecce Key Players to Watch

Genoa vs Lecce Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 1.4 - 0.5. Genoa are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 1.9 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

1.4 : 0.5

Match Outcome Probability

58.0%
28.3%
13.7%
Genoa Win
Draw
Lecce Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Genoa Goal Distribution

25.9%
0
35.0%
1
23.6%
2
10.6%
3
4.8%
4

Lecce Goal Distribution

60.7%
0
30.3%
1
7.6%
2
1.3%
3
0.2%
4

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 0.5 84.3%
Over 1.5 55.2%
Over 2.5 28.3%
Over 3.5 11.7%
Over 4.5 4.0%
Under 0.5 15.7%
Under 1.5 44.8%
Under 2.5 71.7%
Under 3.5 88.3%
Under 4.5 96.0%
Betting Odds
This section provides betting odds for the match outcome.
Genoa Win
2.05
Draw
3.0
Lecce Win
4.0
Over 2.5 Goals
2.5
Under 2.5 Goals
1.5

Genoa vs Lecce Head-to-Head Record

Previous meetings between these two teams, showing the most recent matches first.

In the last 3 meetings between these teams, Genoa has won 1 time, Lecce has won 1 time, and there has been 1 draw.

Most recent result: Lecce 0-0 Genoa (05 Jan 2025, Serie A).

Lecce 0 - 0 Genoa
05 Jan 2025 Serie A 2024/2025
Genoa 2 - 1 Lecce
28 Jan 2024 Serie A 2023/2024
Lecce 1 - 0 Genoa
22 Sep 2023 Serie A 2023/2024

Upcoming Fixtures

The next scheduled matches for both teams after this encounter.

Genoa Next Matches

Juventus vs Genoa
29 Mar 2025, 17:00
Serie A
Genoa vs Udinese
06 Apr 2025, 16:00
Serie A
Hellas Verona vs Genoa
13 Apr 2025, 16:00
Serie A

Lecce Next Matches

Lecce vs Roma
29 Mar 2025, 19:45
Serie A
Lecce vs Venezia
06 Apr 2025, 16:00
Serie A
Juventus vs Lecce
13 Apr 2025, 16:00
Serie A