Millwall vs Stoke - Championship Preview and Prediction

Preview
15 Mar 2025, 12:30
Championship | 2024-2025

Millwall vs Stoke Match Preview

Comprehensive preview and analysis of the Championship match between Millwall and Stoke.

Millwall host Stoke in the Championship on 15 March 2025. Our prediction model gives Millwall a 27.0% chance of winning, while Stoke have a 41.0% chance, with a 32.1% probability of a draw.

Detailed Team Form Analysis

Recent performance metrics for Millwall and Stoke. Use the filters to view different match counts and home/away splits.

Millwall logo Millwall Recent Form Breakdown

W-D-L
Goals Scored
Goals Conceded
Clean Sheets
Avg xG
Avg xG Against
Recent Matches

Stoke logo Stoke Recent Form Breakdown

W-D-L
Goals Scored
Goals Conceded
Clean Sheets
Avg xG
Avg xG Against
Recent Matches

Millwall Recent Form and Statistics

Millwall have a recent record of 2-1-2 (W-D-L) over their last 5 matches (all competitions), scoring 4 goals and conceding 6. They've kept 1 clean sheets in this period, with an average of 0.96 expected goals per game.

Millwall Key Players to Watch

Stoke Recent Form and Statistics

Stoke have a recent record of 1-1-3 (W-D-L) over their last 5 matches (all competitions), scoring 7 goals and conceding 9. They've kept 1 clean sheets in this period, with an average of 1.41 expected goals per game.

Stoke Key Players to Watch

Millwall vs Stoke Match Prediction

Our AI model analyzes team form, head-to-head history, and recent performance to generate these predictions.

Based on our advanced statistical model, we predict a score around 0.8 - 1.1. Stoke are favored to win this match. With a predicted total of 1.8 goals, this match is expected to stay under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score

0.8 : 1.1

Match Outcome Probability

27.0%
32.1%
41.0%
Millwall Win
Draw
Stoke Win

Goal Distribution

The probability of each team scoring a specific number of goals (0-4+).

Millwall Goal Distribution

45.4%
0
35.9%
1
14.2%
2
3.7%
3
0.9%
4

Stoke Goal Distribution

35.0%
0
36.7%
1
19.3%
2
6.8%
3
2.2%
4

Over/Under Probabilities

The likelihood of the total match goals being above or below specific thresholds.

Over 0.5 84.1%
Over 1.5 54.9%
Over 2.5 28.0%
Over 3.5 11.5%
Over 4.5 3.9%
Under 0.5 15.9%
Under 1.5 45.1%
Under 2.5 72.0%
Under 3.5 88.5%
Under 4.5 96.1%

Millwall vs Stoke Head-to-Head Record

Previous meetings between these two teams, showing the most recent matches first.

In the last 5 meetings between these teams, Millwall have won 3 times, Stoke have won 0 times, and there have been 2 draws.

Most recent result: Stoke City 1-1 Millwall (09 Nov 2024, Championship).

Stoke City 1 - 1 Millwall
09 Nov 2024 Championship 2024/2025
Stoke City 0 - 0 Millwall
23 Dec 2023 Championship 2023/2024
Millwall 1 - 0 Stoke City
26 Aug 2023 Championship 2023/2024
Stoke City 0 - 1 Millwall
25 Feb 2023 Championship 2022/2023
Millwall 2 - 0 Stoke City
30 Jul 2022 Championship 2022/2023

Upcoming Fixtures

The next scheduled matches for both teams after this encounter.

Millwall Next Matches

Sunderland vs Millwall
29 Mar 2025, 15:00
Championship
Millwall vs Portsmouth
05 Apr 2025, 14:00
Championship
Sheff Utd vs Millwall
08 Apr 2025, 18:45
Championship

Stoke Next Matches

Stoke vs QPR
29 Mar 2025, 15:00
Championship
Preston vs Stoke
05 Apr 2025, 14:00
Championship
Stoke vs Luton
08 Apr 2025, 18:45
Championship